Subject. Methods for Short?Term Forecasting of Stock Prices of Russian Public Companies Based on Neural Network Technologies. Objectives. To develop a model for short?term forecasting of stock prices of Russian public companies using a neural network, and to create a comprehensive solution for scenario analysis of price movement trajectories across the entire market to enable the formation and calibration of a securities portfolio. Methods. The study used stock price data for public companies listed on the Moscow Exchange (442,674 quotes) from 2014 onwards. The batch download method of the Moexalgo service was applied. Subsequently, deep learning techniques were employed, within the framework of which a neural network with a long short?term memory (LSTM) architecture was constructed. Results. Models were developed for 173 Russian public companies. These models enable stock prices to be forecasted with fairly high accuracy for a 30?day horizon based on historical data series, which can improve short?term strategy in securities portfolio management. Conclusions and Relevance. The obtained results can be applied to form a theoretical securities portfolio for the Russian market in order to develop a short?term financial strategy. The results can be used by financial analysts, traders, and valuation specialists when modelling a portfolio of financial investments.
Markowitz H.M. Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 1952, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 77–91. DOI: 10.2307/2975974
Hochreiter S., Schmidhuber J. Long Short‑Term Memory. Neural Computation, 1997, vol. 9, iss. 8, pp. 1735–1780. DOI: 10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735
Fischer T., Krauss C. Deep learning with long short‑term memory networks for financial market predictions. European Journal of Operational Research, 2018, vol. 270, iss. 2, pp. 654–669. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.11.054
Low P.R., Sakk E. Comparison between autoregressive integrated moving average and long short term memory models for stock price prediction. IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 2023, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 1828–1835. DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v12.i4.pp1828‑1835 EDN: ALVPGW
Li Q., Kamaruddin N., Al‑Jaifi H.A.A. Forecasting Stock Prices Changes Using Long‑Short Term Memory Neural Network with Symbolic Genetic Algorithm. Research Square, 2023. DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs‑3284486/v1
Hang L., Liu D., Xie F. A Hybrid Model Using PCA and BP Neural Network for Time Series Prediction in Chinese Stock Market with TOPSIS Analysis. Scientific Programming, 2023, pp. 1–15. DOI: 10.1155/2023/9963940 EDN: NBZXIE
Chen C., Xue L., Xing W. Research on Improved GRU‑Based Stock Price Prediction Method. Applied Sciences, 2023, vol. 13, iss. 15. DOI: 10.3390/app13158813 EDN: SUWFIS
Shet A., Ashika S., Hanumanth D.N. et al. Stock price prediction using machine learning. International Journal of Engineering Applied Sciences and Technology, 2022, vol. 7, iss. 2, pp. 225–228. DOI: 10.33564/ijeast.2022.v07i02.034 EDN: RHPNNH
Pomulev A.A. [Cryptocurrency price prediction with the help of artificial intelligence technologies]. Tenevaya ekonomika, 2024, vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 347–362. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.18334/tek.8.4.122434 EDN: QXZYAC
Sarkar M., Pratima M.N., Darshan R. et al. An Intelligent Model for Identifying Fluctuations in the Stock Market and Predicting Investment Policies with Guaranteed Returns. In: Sharma R., Jeon G., Zhang Y. (eds) Data Analytics for Internet of Things Infrastructure. Internet of Things. Springer, Cham, 2023. DOI: 10.1007/978‑3‑031‑33808‑3_6
Ibrahim A., Saeed B., Fadil M. Forecasting Stock Prices with an Integrated Approach Combining ARIMA and Machine Learning Techniques ARIMAML. Journal of Computer and Communications, 2023, vol. 11, no. 8, pp. 58–70. DOI: 10.4236/jcc.2023.118005 EDN: HMOCJB
Gülmez B. Stock price prediction with optimized deep LSTM network with artificial rabbits optimization algorithm. Expert Systems with Applications, 2023, vol. 227, 120346. DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120346 EDN: AHSPHU
Chen K., Zhou Y., Dai F. A LSTM‑based method for stock returns prediction: A case study of China stock market. IEEE International Conference on Big Data, 2015, pp. 2823–2824. DOI: 10.1109/BigData.2015.7364089
Khubiyev K.U., Semenov M.E. [Multimodal Stock Price Prediction: A Case Study of the Russian Securities Market]. Programmnye sistemy: teoriia i prilozheniia, 2025, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 83–130. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.25209/2079‑3316‑2025‑16‑1‑83‑130 EDN: RXMHSI
Alzheev A.V., Kochkarov R.A. [Comparative analysis of ARIMA and LSTM predictive models: Evidence from Russian stocks]. Finansy: teoriia i praktika, 2020, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 14–23. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.26794/2587‑5671‑2020‑24‑1‑14‑23 EDN: GVSFYC
Kuznetsov R.S., Tumarova T.G. [PAO Gazprom stock price prediction using LSTM neural networks]. Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiiskoi akademii nauk, 2023, no. 3, pp. 84–98. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.52180/2073‑6487_2023_3_84_98 EDN: RTZFON
Gers F.A., Schmidhuber J., Cummins F. Learning to forget: Continual prediction with LSTM. Neural Computation, 2000, vol. 12, iss. 10, pp. 2451–2471. DOI: 10.1162/089976600300015015