Subject. The economic and social efficiency of e-waste recycling projects significantly depend on the recycling volume, quality and efficiency of the system for waste collection and transportation. The key issue in organizing such a system is the ability to predict the volume of waste generated by electronic and electrical equipment in the selected area. Objectives. The study aims to develop and test a methodology for predicting the volume of electronic waste generation at the level of individual territories, based on annually published Rosstat statistics. Methods. We employ methods of project analysis, time series analysis, the methodology of the Global E-waste Statistics Partnership (GESP). We also use statistical books of the Federal State Statistics Service “Regions of Russia. Socio-economic Indicators” for 2017–2021, as information base. Results. We obtained a projection of the volume of electronic waste generation for ten regions of the Russian Federation, assessed the potential for creating new jobs in the field of e-waste recycling for each considered region. The data can be used in calculating the indicators of commercial and social efficiency of projects for industrial processing facility construction. Conclusions. The predicted results can be refined by conducting additional empirical studies to identify changes in the consumer behavior of Russian citizens in response to a change in the economic situation and arising problems with the availability of a number of electronic goods.
Keywords: e-waste, commercial efficiency, social efficiency, forecasting, reverse logistics
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