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ИД «Финансы и кредит»






Finance and Credit

Risk Assessment under Conditions of Uncertainty for Profit in the Banking Sphere: The PAO Sberbank Case

Vol. 27, Iss. 8, AUGUST 2021

Received: 15 April 2021

Received in revised form: 13 May 2021

Accepted: 27 May 2021

Available online: 30 August 2021

Subject Heading: Banking

JEL Classification: G21

Pages: 1828–1851


Sergei V. ZAITSEV Institute of Economics, Astrakhan State Technical University (ASTU), Astrakhan, Russian Federation

ORCID id: not available

Arina B. ALIBEKOVA Institute of Economics, Astrakhan State Technical University (ASTU), Astrakhan, Russian Federation


Anastasiya D. KOROTENKOVA Institute of Economics, Astrakhan State Technical University (ASTU), Astrakhan, Russian Federation


Sofiya S. SHISHKINA Institute of Economics, Astrakhan State Technical University (ASTU), Astrakhan, Russian Federation


Subject. The article considers the economic relationship between the banking sector and the population.
Objectives. We focus on theoretical and empirical analysis of the activities of PAO Sberbank, identifying threats and measures to minimize any damage to the banking organization.
Methods. The study rests on the analysis of data provided by PAO Sberbank on its official website. Our calculation of indicators bases on these data. The main methods employed are expert assessments, the method of threshold values of the main threats to economic security.
Results. We performed a horizontal and vertical analysis of the financial statements of PAO Sberbank, considered the structure of income and expenses and the bank's loan portfolio by sector of economy. Using the threshold value method, we unveiled the threats inherent in PAO Sberbank and developed a strategy to minimize the identified threats. The findings may be useful for analyzing the bank’s activities and identifying the threats to the banking sector in a socially oriented market economy.
Conclusions. The study reveales that this bank is inherent in such threats as low short-term liquidity and loan impairment risk. We offer a strategy that affects the policy of PAO Sberbank. It includes long-term measures to increase the share of mortgage loans, which, as a result, will enable the development of the construction sector and have a positive effect on society as a whole.

Keywords: capitalist society, financial risk, market economy, bank loss, economic security


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