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Finance and Credit
 

A cyclo-coherent approach to finding points of crisis balance of economic systems under global economic downturn

Vol. 22, Iss. 17, MAY 2016

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 5 February 2016

Received in revised form: 1 March 2016

Accepted: 16 March 2016

Available online: 17 May 2016

Subject Heading: MONETARY POLICY

JEL Classification: E44, F20, F21, F29, F37

Pages: 2-12

Loginov E.L. Market Economy Institute of RAS, Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation
evgenloginov@gmail.com

Loginova V.E. Market Economy Institute of RAS, Moscow, Russian Federation
instityteb@mail.ru

Subject The article discusses the management technology based on the analysis of processes of coherent interference between the groups of economic activity cycles in national economies of the world.
Objectives The study aims to develop approaches to determining the parameters of achieving a point of local equilibrium of the nonlinear economic system, and subsequently to find the optimal maximum of this balanced condition by average parameters of a group of interacting systems (for proactive damping of crisis extrema in interrelated monetary and financial, stock, commodity and other markets), and the monitoring results of controlled economic systems.
Methods We analyzed processes of coherent interference of groups of economic activity cycles as a result of various forms of management activity to match the individual data of controlled economic systems with developed profiles of control over the degree of coherence of oscillations of the key processes in the national economy.
Results The analysis highlighted indicators characterizing the chains of interaction between external and internal cycles in the movement of investment and financial resources in processes of crisis macroeconomic cyclogenesis, identified point of achieving local equilibrium in the economic system in relation to positive or negative self-oscillation with a probability of a coherent response within the macroeconomic vibrating circuit of a group of national economies.
Conclusions The study creates an opportunity to identify the appropriate control process of the designed generic model intended to block extreme crisis anomalies at the national and transnational scale.

Keywords: crisis, global economy, economic activity, cyclo-coherent dynamics, control

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