+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Finance and Credit
 

The Bank of Russia's exchange rate policy in ensuring the macroeconomic stability

Vol. 22, Iss. 12, MARCH 2016

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 29 December 2015

Received in revised form: 1 February 2016

Accepted: 9 February 2016

Available online: 27 March 2016

Subject Heading: Banking

JEL Classification: E58

Pages: 2-9

Sukharev A.N. Tver State University, Tver, Russian Federation
su500005@yandex.ru

Subject The article addresses the exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia.
Objectives The aim is to examine special aspects of Bank of Russia's exchange rate policy decision to ensure macroeconomic stability in the country.
Methods The study employs formal logic and systems approaches to analyze complex macroeconomic phenomena and processes.
Results The study discloses modern theoretical concepts on relations of inflation with achieving 'full employment' and 'full production' in the economy; considers advantages and disadvantages of various exchange rate regimes and the use of a nominal anchor in the monetary policy as a means of maintaining the price level stability (a decline in inflation). It shows that it is difficult or practically impossible to use two nominal anchors simultaneously, i.e. the fixed exchange rate of the national currency and the fixed money supply the Bank of Russia (for Russia, it is equivalent to the concept of fixed value of base money in the narrow sense). The article includes the analysis of possible exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia aimed at maintaining a balanced Federal budget, and highlights its strengths and weaknesses.
Conclusions In Russia, the exchange rate of ruble acts as a tool to align the balance of payments and to balance the Federal budget. Meanwhile, it is difficult to achieve these two goals simultaneously at one rate of exchange of the national currency. Today, Russia uses the exchange rate regime, under which there is a complete balancing of the balance of payments.

Keywords: macroeconomic stability, monetary policy, exchange rate policy, inflation targeting, Bank of Russia

References:

  1. Lucas R., Rapping L. Price Expectations and the Phillips Curve. American Economic Review, 1969, vol. 59, no. 3, pp. 342–350.
  2. Alogoskoufis G., Smith R. The Phillips Curve, the Persistence of Inflation, and the Lucas Critique: Evidence from Exchange-rate Regimes. American Economic Review, 1991, vol. 81, pp. 1254–1275.
  3. Roberts J.M. New Keynesian Economics and the Phillips Curve. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1995, vol. 27, no. 4, pp. 975–984.
  4. Clarida R., Gali J., Gertler M. Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2000, vol. 115, no. 1, pp. 147–180.
  5. Romer D. Advanced Macroeconomics. New York, McGraw-Hill Irwin, 2012, pp. 312–364.
  6. Blanchard O., Gali J. Real Wage Rigidities and the New Keynesian Model. NBER Working Paper, 2005, no. 11806. Available at: Link.
  7. Charkin A.V. Mirovoi opyt inflyatsionnogo targetirovaniya [International experience of inflation targeting]. Nauchno-issledovatel'skii finansovyi institut. Finansovyi zhurnal = Financial Research Institute. Financial Journal, 2012, no. 1, pp. 115–128.
  8. Ryazantseva O.P. Inflyatsionnoe targetirovanie: predposylki razvitiya [Inflation targeting: conditions for development]. Gumanitarnoe prostranstvo = Humanity Space, 2013, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 737–742.
  9. Hammond G. Praktika inflyatsionnogo targetirovaniya – 2012. Rukovodstvo № 29 [Handbook – No. 29. State of the Art of Inflation Targeting – 2012]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
  10. Woodford M. Targetirovanie inflyatsii: sovershenstvovat', a ne spisyvat' v util' [Inflation Targeting: Fix It, Don't Scrap It]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2014, no. 10, pp. 44–55.
  11. Yudaeva K.V. O vozmozhnostyakh, tselyakh i mekhanizmakh denezhno-kreditnoi politiki v tekushchei situatsii [On opportunities, purposes and mechanisms of the monetary policy under the current conditions]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2014, no. 9, pp. 4–12.
  12. Wagner H. Controlling Inflation in Transition Economies: The Relevance of Bank Independence and the Right Nominal Anchor. Atlantic Economic Journal, 2000, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 60–70.
  13. Tavlas G.S. On the Exchange Rate as a Nominal Anchor: The Rise and Fall of the Credibility Hypothesis. Economic Record, 2000, vol. 76, no. 233, pp. 183–201.
  14. Tornell A., Velasco A. Fiscal Discipline and the Choice of a Nominal Anchor in Stabilization. Journal of International Economics, 1998, vol. 46, no. 1, pp. 1–30.
  15. Drobyshevskii S.M., Trunin P.V., Evdokimova T.V. Vliyanie vybora tselei i instrumentov politiki denezhnykh vlastei i uyazvimost' ekonomik [The impact of selecting the goals and tools of the monetary authorities policy and vulnerability of economies]. Moscow, Delo Publ., 2012, 204 p.
  16. Smirnov S.V. Rezhimy valyutnogo kursa i stabil'nost' ekonomiki [Exchange rate regimes and stability of economy]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2010, no. 1, pp. 29–43.
  17. Andryushin S.A., Kuznetsova V.P. Kursovaya politika tsentral'nykh bankov stran s formiruyushchimisya rynkami [The exchange rate policy of central banks of countries with emerging markets]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2011, no. 12, pp. 21–34.
  18. Shakhnovich R.M. Targetirovanie valyutnogo kursa kak rezhim sovremennoi denezhnoi politiki: preimushchestva i nedostatki [Exchange rate targeting as a regime of the modern monetary policy: pros and cons]. Voprosy ekonomiki i prava = Problems of Economics and Law, 2013, no. 61, pp. 113–116.
  19. Mezhdunarodnye valyutno-kreditnye i finansovye otnosheniya [International currency-and-credit and financial relations]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 1994, 592 p.
  20. Sukharev A.N. Ot politiki gosudarstvennogo dolga k politike gosudarstvennykh sberezhenii [From public debt policy to public savings policy]. Problemy sovremennoi ekonomiki = Problems of Modern Economics, 2009, no. 4, pp. 70–73.

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 30, Iss. 4
April 2024

Archive