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Finance and Credit

15(543) - 2013 April

Methods of uncertainty account in investment analysis

Vol. 19, Iss. 15, APRIL 2013

Available online: 18 April 2013

Subject Heading: MODELING IN ECONOMICS

JEL Classification:

Chernov V.G. Doctor of Economics, Professor of Department "Management and Informatics in Technical and Economic Systems", the Vladimir State University named after A.G. and N.G. Stoletovs
vladimir.chernov@rambler.ru

Remezova E.M. Graduate Student, Department "Management and Informatics in Technical and Economic Systems", the Vladimir State University named after A.G. and N.G. Stoletovs
katarina.remezova@yandex.ru

The purpose of this article is research of a problem of the accounting of uncertainty accepting of the investment decision. On the bases of the detailed comparative analysis results of existing valuation methods of the accounting of factors of uncertainty at an assessment economic efficiency of investment projects, the conclusion has been made on unacceptability of these methods in connection with their limited practical applicability in most cases and a number of serious shortcomings. A possible way of overcoming these shortcomings is possible to use the theory of fuzzy sets. In the article the model of an assessment of investment projects on the basis of type-1 fuzzy sets, are considered, the model being not ideal. The model of an assessment of investment projects by means of type-2 fuzzy sets is offered.

Keywords: investment project, economic efficiency, uncertainty, type-1 fuzzy set, type-2 fuzzy set

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ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

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