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Finance and Credit

40(424) - 2010 October

Mid-term forecast of investment in foxed assets in Russia by means of econometric model

Vol. 16, Iss. 40, OCTOBER 2010

Available online: 26 October 2010

Subject Heading: INVESTMENT POTENCIAL

JEL Classification:

Mitsek S.A. doctor of economic sciences, dean of faculty of business and management of the Humanitarian University of Yekaterinburg
mitsek@mail.ur.ru

Mitsek E.B. candidate of economic sciences, chief of board of Management and Marketing, Faculty of Business and Management, Liberal Arts University in Yekaterinburg, Russia
mitsek@mail.ur.ru

Authors worked out an econometric model that links the major macroeconomic variables and use it to make a mid-term forecast of investment in fixed assets. They analyze different forecasting variants with decrease of export prices, tax increase and aggressive monetary policy, ant others. The forecasting shows that export prices have a strong influence on Russian economy, and tax increase declines an economic growth with crowding out of private investment by the government one.

Keywords: Investment in fixed assets, econometric model, forecasting, export prices’ index, monetary and fiscal policy

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ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

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