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Finance and Credit
 

Scenario analysis, methodological aspects

Vol. 15, Iss. 44, NOVEMBER 2009

Available online: 26 November 2009

Subject Heading: Bank management

JEL Classification: 

Kovalev P.P. Candidate of Economic Sciences, Head of the Risk Management Department of the Eurasian Development Bank
kpp@eabr.org

The article describes the structure of the approach “Scenario analysis”, which involves next steps: creation a model of the object, defining the keys factors of the influence and evaluating scale, result’s criteria, stress testing the model, what-if analysis, synthesis the results, back testing, conclusion.

Keywords: analysis, scenario, probability, event

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ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

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