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Digest Finance

A risk-oriented model to assess the probability of bankruptcy of strategic alliance member companies

Vol. 28, Iss. 1, MARCH 2023

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 5 February 2019

Received in revised form: 13 March 2019

Accepted: 5 April 2019

Available online: 30 March 2023


JEL Classification: G32, G33, M42

Pages: 16–30


Nataliya A. KAZAKOVA Plekhanov Russian University of Economics (PRUE), Moscow, Russian Federation

ORCID id: not available

Subject. Globalization of economic processes is associated with increased competition and risks that may ultimately lead a business to bankruptcy. Strategic alliances are one of the forms of enhancing the resilience of businesses, however, there are no tools for diagnosing the bankruptcy risks of strategic alliance member companies.
Objectives. The aim is to develop an economic model for assessing the probability of bankruptcy to control risks of companies that are members of strategic alliances.
Methods. The methodology of the study rests on academic papers of foreign and Russian scientists, expert, mathematical and analytical methods, as well as the systems approach to diagnosing the probability of bankruptcy.
Results. I developed a risk-based economic model as a set of economic indicators, criteria and methods to assess the bankruptcy risk of companies being the members of strategic alliances. The offered model can be useful to conduct performance audits, reviews and audits of a group of companies, and to prepare corporate reports in the sphere of sustainable development.
Conclusions. The presented approach enables to consider the specifics of risks of strategic alliance member companies through the mechanism of building a flexible system of indicators, their ranking and assigning weight values that reflect the contribution of a given factor. It also helps generate an objective and reasonable indicator of risk tolerance.

Keywords: risk, analysis, model, bankruptcy, strategic alliance


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