Subject. This article deals with the cyclical-coherent processes determined by a set of discrete macroeconomic cycles in the global economy, and the dynamics of crises. Objectives. The article aims to develop approaches to identifying the causes that determine the crisis dynamics of the world economy to obtain the possibility of proactive damping of crisis extremums on the interrelated monetary, financial, stock, and commodity markets. Methods. For the study, we used the general scientific and special methods, including the methods of systems and economic analyses. Results. To forecast macroeconomic dynamics, we propose to study metastable states of the world economy in the framework of macrocyclic processes in correlation with structural fluctuations determined by the influence of coherent-resonant set of vibrational modes of investment, monetary and financial, etc. processes. As well, we offer proactive damping of crisis extremums in the Russian economy and creation of conditions of their asymmetry by managing a package of digital financial assets with a certain volume of regulated emission of digital assets generating a new demand and reducing the risks of speculative attacks, implemented as a result of manipulative games of international speculative groups. Conclusions and Relevance. Synchronization of stagnation quasiharmonic vibrations of structural (cyclical and non-cyclical) character fundamentally unbalances the economy and brings it beyond the boundaries of the effectiveness of traditional anti-crisis measures, which explains the duration and devastating pattern of the current crisis. The technology considered is proposed as an integral part of the management of macroeconomic systems' development of different levels in the world economy.
Kondratiev N.D. Bol'shie tsikly kon"yunktury i teoriya predvideniya [The Major Cycles of the Conjuncture and the Theory of Forecasting]. Moscow, Ekonomika Publ., 2002, 768 p. URL: Link
Mitchell W.C. Ekonomicheskie tsikly. Problema i ee postanovka [Business Cycles: The Problem and Its Setting]. Moscow, Gosizdat Publ., 1930, 503 p.
Hansen A.H. Ekonomicheskie tsikly i natsional'nyi dokhod [Business Cycles and National Income]. Moscow, Finansovaya Akademiya Publ., 2008, 466 p. URL: Link
Yakovets Yu.V. Tsikly. Krizisy. Prognozy [Cycles. Crises. Predictions]. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1999, 448 p.
Zoidov K.Kh. Tsiklicheskie protsessy v sovetskoi i perekhodnoi rossiiskoi ekonomike [Cyclic processes in the Soviet and Russian transitional economies]. Moscow, IPR RAS, 1999, 233 p. URL: Link
Tsvetkov V.A. Tsikly i krizisy: teoretiko-metodologicheskii aspekt [Cycles and crises: a theoretical and methodological aspect]. Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nestor-Istoriya Publ., 2013, 504 p.
Loginov E.L., Shkuta A.A., Loginova V.E., Sorokin D.D. [Cyclo-coherent approaches to the management of bifurcation states of aggregate economic systems in the world economy in the conditions of nonlinear cyclic dynamics]. MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsii. Razvitie) = MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research), 2017, vol. 8, iss. 2, pp. 314–321. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Loginov E.L. Proyavlenie kogerentnogo rezonansa mezhdu tsiklami makroekonomicheskoi dinamiki s uchetom strukturnykh kolebanii: klyuchevaya kharakteristika tekushchego krizisa v mirovoi ekonomike i v Rossii [Development of coherent resonance between cycles of macroeconomic dynamic taking into account structural variations: a basic characteristic of the current crisis in world economy and Russia]. Moscow, RAS Publ., 2017, 38 p.
Minakova N.V. [Globalization impact on cyclical dynamics of the U.S. economy]. SShA i Kanada: Ekonomika, Politika, Kul'tura = USA v Canada: Economics – Politics – Culture, 2012, no. 8, pp. 90–104. (In Russ.)
Teplovodskii M.M. [Sectoral analysis of the relationship of the investment process and the cyclical fluctuations of the economy, by the example of the US economy]. Innovatsii i investitsii = Innovation and Investment, 2017, no. 2, pp. 25–30. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Abramov A.P. [Cyclical growth in a model of closed decentralized economy]. Problemy upravleniya = Control Sciences, 2012, no. 2, pp. 32–37. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Kolesnikov N.Yu. [The global financial system and the transmission mechanism of the crisis in the cyclical development of the global economy]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2013, no. 7, pp. 469–473. (In Russ.)
Mudrova S.V. [Cyclic changes in economy]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2014, no. 12-3, pp. 154–159. (In Russ.)
Chibrik M.I., Kuryleva A.I., Zhak R.V. et al. Asimmetrichnye tsikly v ekonomike [Asymmetrical cycles in economy]. St. Petersburg, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University Publ., 2014, 288 p.
Klinov V.G. [World Economy Long Cycle in XXI Century]. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya = World Economy and International Relations, 2016, vol. 60, iss. 12, pp. 5–16. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Dement'ev V.E. [Kondratiev cycles and post-industrial economy]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii, 2014, no. 4, pp. 7–19. (In Russ.)
Rozanova N.M., Komarnitskaya A.N. [Government regulation of microeconomic processes during economic cycles: some aspects]. Zhurnal ekonomicheskoi teorii, 2014, no. 1, pp. 134–152. (In Russ.)
Glaz'ev S.Yu. [On a new paradigm in the political economy. Part 2]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii, 2016, no. 4, pp. 10–22. (In Russ.)
Tsvetkov V.A., Stepnov I.M., Koval'chuk Yu.A. et al. Dinamika razvitiya ekonomicheskikh sistem [Dynamics of economic systems development]. Moscow, TSEMI RAS Publ., IPR RAS Publ., 2016, 380 p.
Tsvetkov V.A., Zoidov K.Kh., Medkov A.A. Implementing Urgent Transport and Transit Projects Based on Public-Private Partnership in Russia. R-Economy, 2016, vol. 2, iss. 4, pp. 412–421. (In Russ.) URL: Link