Subject The article deals with the issues of evaluation of the efficacy of possible cooperation of Russia and China in aircraft development and production. Objectives The paper aims to evaluate the level of wide-bodied aircraft first cost for a variety of options for the aircraft and components production. As well, the paper's purpose is to evaluate the effectiveness of the cooperation with China in the field of manufacture of products of this class in terms of creating high-paying jobs and conformity with world standards on production cost level. Results We offer a model of aircraft first cost estimation for scenarios of separate and China-joint production, with partial and full localization of components production. Also, we propose a model to estimate the relative reduction of payment rates, which is required to ensure the aircraft price competitiveness in the world aircraft market. Conclusions We conclude that the cooperation with China shall allow to significantly reduce wide-bodied aircraft production costs by increasing the market size, and expand the model range of cost-effective products for the Russian aviation industry.
Keywords: aircraft industry, high-tech production, international cooperation, competitiveness, wages
References:
Benkard C.L. A Dynamic Analysis of the Market for Wide-Bodied Commercial Aircraft. Review of Economic Studies, 2004, vol. 71, iss. 3, pp. 581–611.
Wright T.P. Factors Affecting the Cost of Airplanes. Journal of Aeronautical Sciences, 1936, vol. 3, iss. 4, pp. 122–128.
International Industrial Networks and Industrial Restructuring in Central and Eastern Europe. Boston, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2004, 249 p.
Niosi J., Zhegu M. Multinational Corporations, Value Chains and Knowledge Spillovers in the Global Aircraft Industry. International Journal of Institutions and Economies, 2010, vol. 2, iss. 2, pp. 109–141.
Lui Ch. Public Opinion, Central Decision-making Dominance and Policy Changes: A Case Study of China's Large Aircraft Industry. China: An International Journal, 2016, vol. 14, iss. 1, pp. 35–55.
Denisov V.T., Avdeeva E.S., Panyushkina L.V., Denisov D.D. [Development of the aircraft market and a cluster approach to satisfying the demand for aircraft]. Vestnik Saratovskogo gosudarstvennogo sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo universiteta = Bulletin of Saratov State Socio-Economic University, 2015, no. 2, pp. 35–39. (In Russ.)
Denisov D.D. [Development of international cooperation in the production and operation of aircraft]. Ekonomicheskienauki = Economic Sciences, 2015, no. 1, pp. 42–47. (In Russ.)
Kruglova E.Yu. [Forecasting the market of civil aircraft]. Rossiiskii vneshneekonomicheskii vestnik = Russian Foreign Economic Bulletin, 2015, no. 10, pp. 104–115. (In Russ.)
Baldwin R., Krugman P. Industrial Policy and International Competition in Wide-Bodied Jet Aircraft. In: Trade Policy and Empirical Analysis. University of Chicago Press for the NBER, 1988, pp. 45–71.
Irwin D.A., Pavcnik N. Airbus versus Boeing Revisited: International Competition in the Aircraft Market. Journal of International Economics, 2004, vol. 64, iss. 2, pp. 223–245.
Taylor N. Foreign Trade and the Aircraft Manufacturing Industry. Global Policy Journal, 2015. Available at: Link.
Harrison G.J. Challenge to the Boeing-Airbus Duopoly in Civil Aircraft: Issues for competitiveness. Congressional Research Service Reports, 2011. Available at: Link.
Klochkov V.V., Nizhnik M.V., Rusanova A.L. [Forecasting the economic effectiveness of new types of high-speed passenger transport development]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2009, no. 3, pp. 58–76. (In Russ.)
Gusmanov T.M., Klochkov V.V. [Economic problems of aircraft industry development in conditions of unstable demand for air transportation]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii = Economic Science of Modern Russia, 2008, no. 3, pp. 98–109. (In Russ.)
Fal'tsman V.K. [Measuring the competitiveness of technologically complicated product]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2012, no. 5, pp. 47–61. (In Russ.)
Afyan A. [International political variables of the Russian aircraft industry]. Mezhdunarodnye protsessy = International Processes, 2015, vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 139–146. (In Russ.)
Varshavskii L.E. [A methodological basis of modelling the development of oligopolistic markets of products with a long life cycle: a civil aircraft market case study]. Prikladnaya ekonometrika = Applied Econometrics, 2010, no. 4, pp. 53–74. (In Russ.)