Fedorova E.A.Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation ecolena@mail.ru
Medvedeva A.A.Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation bzzz93@mail.ru
Fedorov F.Yu.Moscow State Technical University of Radio Engineering, Electronics and Automation (MSTU MIREA), Moscow, Russian Federation fedorovfedor92@mail.ru
Importance The article addresses development processes of the Russian M&A market in the telecommunications sector, and the effect of macroeconomic factors on efficiency of M&A transactions. Objectives The aim is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic factors on mergers and acquisitions efficiency in the telecommunications industry. Methods The study draws on the analysis of transactions in the Russian telecommunications industry over the period from January 2005 to March 2015. The analysis identified factors of the telecommunications sector and the entire economy, which influence the transactions. We calculated efficiency of transactions using the index of cumulative abnormal return. The analysis is based on econometric models of linear regression, probit regression; the volatility is calculated by using the GARCH model. Results The analysis leads to the conclusion about the influence of macroeconomic factors on transactions’ efficiency. There is a weak correlation between the yield of the transaction and the condition of financial markets and entire economy, while the level of industry development has a direct impact on the deal. Conclusions and Relevance The telecommunications sectorhas become one of main sectors of M&A development. Over the recent year, Russia has been experiencing economic turmoils, and enters a crisis phase. Companies are looking for the most efficient ways of development, therefore, they need to competently analyze deals in the M&A market.
Keywords: telecommunications, CAR, GARCH, linear regression, probit regression
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