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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

New method of appraisal of economic effectiveness and risks of investment projects of power plants considering their specific character on the basis of integral models

Vol. 8, Iss. 12, APRIL 2009

Available online: 29 September 2009

Subject Heading: The investment policy

JEL Classification: 

Khusainov M.K. doctor of economic sciences, Moscow State University of Instrument engineering and Informatics

Sharipov M.M. candidate of economic sciences, associate professor, rector, Tadzhikistan State University of Commerce ;

The article examines the new paradigm of description of uncertainty on the basis of uncertain and interval models. Now this modern paradigm is not used while appraising economic efficacy and risks of investment projects. The method developed allows improving quality of decisions made significantly at the stage of competitive selection of investment projects of power plants producing specific product which is electric power that cannot be stored and is consumed at the moment of production.
     In the course of approbation of the method suggested subject to actual input data of the investment project of a Nuclear Power Plant with the type of power-generating unit ВВЭР-1000 its high effectiveness in the context of substantiation of decisions made was confirmed.
     The special program “Interval-Invest” which may be effectively used during solution of real tasks of competitive selection of investment projects of power plants was developed.

Keywords: effectiveness, investment project, interval models, uncertainty, risk

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ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

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