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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Forecasting the dynamics of the impact of scientific research activities on regional socioeconomic development under conditions of sociocultural barriers

ISSUE 5, MAY 2026

Received: 3 February 2026

Accepted: 6 March 2026

Available online: 28 May 2026

Subject Heading: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS

JEL Classification: I25, O32, R11

Pages: 74-90

https://doi.org/10.24891/aripiz

Maksim V. VLASOV Corresponding author, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
mvlassov@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3763-327X

Tat’yana A. KONEVA Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin (UrFU), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
Simakova0212@gmail.com

ORCID id: not available

Danil R. GAMALEEV Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin (UrFU), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
danil.gamaleev@bk.ru

ORCID id: not available

Veronika A. MESHKOVA Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin (UrFU), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
vermesh_2@mail.ru

ORCID id: not available

Kseniya A. SANNIKOVA Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin (UrFU), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
ksyu.sannikova.02@bk.ru

ORCID id: not available

Alesya I. PUSHKAREVA Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin (UrFU), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
aaallleeesss@ya.ru

ORCID id: not available

Subject. Spatial heterogeneity of the subjects of the Russian Federation, implementation of the country's scientific potential.
Objectives. Assessment of the distribution of regions of the Russian Federation by the degree of influence of research activities on the parameters of socioeconomic development.
Methods. The index method, as well as various methods of multivariate statistical analysis.
Results. In a number of subjects of the Russian Federation, a high level of development in research activities does not contribute to achieving a high level of socioeconomic indicators, which indicates the presence of institutional and socio-cultural constraints.
Conclusions. The results of the study can be taken into account when developing a differentiated regional policy aimed at supporting scientific research and ensuring innovative growth.

Keywords: regional development, cluster analysis, forecasting, sociocultural barriers, institutional environment

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