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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Single-industry town Udachny: Forecasting the demographic situation until 2030

ISSUE 7, JULY 2025

Received: 5 December 2024

Accepted: 23 January 2025

Available online: 30 July 2025

Subject Heading: POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHY

JEL Classification: J11

Pages: 177-195

https://doi.org/10.24891/ilbpue

Mariya A. NIKONOVA Corresponding author, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
flowerchek1982@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4365-4066

Ekaterina V. AKINFEEVA Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
tyusha08@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0657-9052

Subject. This article discusses the specific conditions for the development of mono-cities in the territory of the Far Eastern Federal District.
Objectives. The article aims to assess the overall demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) and identify the factors influencing the population size of the single-industry town Udachny.
Methods. For the study, we used multivariate regression modeling and the extrapolation method.
Results. The article provides data on the population size in the mono-cities of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), describes the factors affecting changes in population size, and presents a forecast of the trends of this indicator until 2030.
Relevance. The results obtained can be used to develop a comprehensive programme for improving the demographic situation in mono-cities of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia).

Keywords: Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), mono-industry town, demography, multivariate regression modeling, forecasting

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