Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the implementation of current registration of migration and the conduct of population censuses in the Russian Federation. Objectives. The article aims to conduct a critical analysis of the official indicators of migration growth (loss) in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Methods. For the study, I used statistical research methods. Results. The article identifies the regions of Russia with the highest relative migration growth and relative migration loss. For the majority of regions characterized by high migration growth, the census showed an underestimation of migration, and in regions where there is an intensive decline in the population, an underestimation of migration loss was revealed. Conclusions. An estimate of migration growth based on the balance of the population makes it possible to identify the undercount of migration, as well as to more accurately identify donor and recipient regions.
Keywords: migration gain, current migration accounting, population census, regions of Russia
References:
Bezverbny V.A., Mikryukov N.Yu. [Features of inter-regional migration in the Russian Federation in 2017–2019]. Nauchnoe obozrenie. Seriya 2. Gumanitarnye nauki = Scientific Review. Series 2: Human Science, 2021, no. 6, pp. 45–65. (In Russ.)
Budilov A.P. [Domestic migration: differentiation of regions and its factors]. Problemy razvitiya territorii = Problems of Territory's Development, 2019, no. 3, pp. 97–106. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Guseva A.S. [Migration mobility in the context of the spatial development strategy of the Russian Federation]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2019, no. 8, pp. 461–465. (In Russ.)
Rybakovskii O.L. Zakonomernosti i osobennosti mezhregional'nykh migratsionnykh svyazei naseleniya Rossii za 50 let: monografiya [Patterns and features of interregional migration relations of the Russian population for 50 years: a monograph]. Moscow, Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of RAS Publ., 2022, 471 p. URL: Link
Troyanskaya M.A. [Migration in the border region of Russia and Kazakhstan: practical considerations]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2021, vol. 17, iss. 1, pp. 4–25. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Fauzer V.V., Lytkina T.S., Smirnov A.V., Fauzer G.N. [Influence of migration on the number of population of the North of Russia]. SOTIS – sotsial'nye tekhnologii, issledovaniya = Social Technology, Research, 2020, no. 1, pp. 98–105. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Ryazantsev S.V., Moiseeva E.M. [Migration in the context of the demographic development of the Russian Far East]. Vestnik Rossiiskoi akademii nauk = Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2022, vol. 92, no. 2, pp. 150–161. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Rybakovskiy L.L., Rybakovskii O.L. [Depopulation in Russia: results for 1992–2022, components and compensation by migration at the regional level]. Sotsial'no-trudovye issledovaniya = Social & Labour Research, 2023, no. 2, pp. 16–26. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Topilin A.V., Vorobyeva O.D., Maximova A.S. et al. Territorial'nye sdvigi v razmeshchenii naseleniya RF i sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoe razvitie regionov: monografiya [Territorial changes in population distribution in the Russian Federation and socio-economic development of regions: a monograph]. Moscow, Kreativnaya ekonomika Publ., 2018, 168 p. URL: Link
Doronina K.A. Migration as a Source of Population Growth in the Capital Megalopolises of Russia in the Period between 1989 and 2010 Censuses. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2019, vol. 30, iss. 1, pp. 93–101. URL: Link
Chudinovskikh O.S., Stepanova A.V. [On the quality of the federal statistical observation of migration processes]. Demograficheskoe obozrenie, 2020, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 54–82. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Mkrtchyan N.V., Gilmanov R.I. [Big cities of Russia and their suburbs as centers of attraction of internal migrants]. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Nauki o Zemle = Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Earth Sciences, 2023, vol. 68, no. 1, pp. 44–63. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Chernyshev K.A. [Region as a migration donor in the space of federal district]. Regionalistica = Regionalistics, 2019, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 53–63. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Nizamutdinov M.M., Oreshnikov V.V. [An approach to identify factors of migration processes formation in Russian regions]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2018, vol. 17, iss. 5, pp. 906–918. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Rybakovsky O.L. [Population dynamics of Russia: basic concepts, indicators, results for 1946–2017]. Narodonaselenie = Population, 2018, vol. 21, no. 4, pp. 14–22. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Antonov E.V., Makhrova A.G. [Largest urban agglomerations and super-agglomerations in Russia]. Izvestiya Rossiiskoi Akademii Nauk. Seriya geograficheskaya, 2019, no. 4, pp. 31–45. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Babkin R.A. [Estimation of the population of municipalities in the Moscow metropolitan region according to the data of mobile operators]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5. Geografiya = Moscow University Bulletin. Series 5, Geography, 2020, no. 4, pp. 116–121. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Farakhutdinov Sh.F., Khayrullina N.G. [All-Russian population census 2020-2021: censusists' point of view]. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya = Sociological Research, 2022, no. 11, pp. 66–73. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Mkrtchyan N.V. [Migration in the North Caucasus and the accuracy of statistics]. Zhurnal issledovanii sotsial'noi politiki = The Journal of Social Policy Studies, 2019, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 7–22. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Kazenin K.I. [Estimating number of children in villages of Dagestan: a comparison of data sources]. Demograficheskoe obozrenie, 2016, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 93–113. (In Russ.) URL: Link
