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ИД «Финансы и кредит»






Regional Economics: Theory and Practice

Migration balance in Russian Regions: Estimates based on current vital statistics and 2010 and 2020–2021 census surveys data

Vol. 21, Iss. 11, NOVEMBER 2023

Received: 31 August 2023

Received in revised form: 2 October 2023

Accepted: 23 October 2023

Available online: 16 November 2023


JEL Classification: O15, R2

Pages: 2178–2198


Konstantin A. CHERNYSHEV Institute for Demographic Research, Branch of Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of RAS (FCTAS RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation


Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the implementation of current registration of migration and the conduct of population censuses in the Russian Federation.
Objectives. The article aims to conduct a critical analysis of the official indicators of migration growth (loss) in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.
Methods. For the study, I used statistical research methods.
Results. The article identifies the regions of Russia with the highest relative migration growth and relative migration loss. For the majority of regions characterized by high migration growth, the census showed an underestimation of migration, and in regions where there is an intensive decline in the population, an underestimation of migration loss was revealed.
Conclusions. An estimate of migration growth based on the balance of the population makes it possible to identify the undercount of migration, as well as to more accurately identify donor and recipient regions.

Keywords: migration gain, current migration accounting, population census, regions of Russia


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ISSN 2311-8733 (Online)
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Vol. 21, Iss. 11
November 2023