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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Forecast estimates of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020–2025, taking into account the coronavirus pandemic impact

Vol. 19, Iss. 2, FEBRUARY 2021

Received: 9 November 2020

Received in revised form: 26 December 2020

Accepted: 14 January 2021

Available online: 15 February 2021

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODELING

JEL Classification: C53, E27, O11, R13

Pages: 339–359

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.19.2.339

Gavril N. OKHLOPKOV Institute of Mathematics and Information Science, M.K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University (NEFU), Yakutsk, Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Russian Federation
math_jsu@mail.ru

ORCID id: not available

Subject. This article deals with the system of indicators of forecasting gross regional product and their relationship.
Objectives. The article aims to obtain projections of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020–2025.
Methods. For the study, I used the methods of mathematical modeling in economics.
Results. The article calculates and conducts a comparative analysis of the scenario forecast estimates of the gross regional product of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) for 2020–2025.
Conclusions. The developed methodological approach, based on a phased prediction of gross regional product, provides forecasting for various variants of the coronavirus pandemic impact on the region's economy.

Keywords: gross regional product, methodological approach, forecast, scenario, economic growth

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ISSN 2311-8733 (Online)
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