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Scenario planning for the development of spatial economic and social systems: Methodological approaches

Vol. 18, Iss. 10, OCTOBER 2020

Received: 14 September 2020

Received in revised form: 22 September 2020

Accepted: 25 September 2020

Available online: 15 October 2020

Subject Heading: REGIONAL STRATEGIC PLANNING

JEL Classification: O21, R58

Pages: 1839Ц1868

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.18.10.1839

Maslikhina V.Yu. Volga State University of Technology (VSUT), Yoshkar-Ola, Mari El Republic, Russian Federation
Maslihina_nika@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2673-266X

Subject. This article reviews and systematizes methodological approaches to generate scenarios and develop a scenario planning algorithm in relation to spatial socio-economic systems.
Objectives. The article aims to analyze and classify scenarios and algorithms of scenario planning, as well as choose and justify an approach to scenario planning of the development of spatial socio-economic systems.
Methods. For the study, I used the methods of analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison, and classification.
Results. The article clarifies the definitions of Scenario and Scenario Planning and categorizes scenarios according to different criteria. It reveals the gap between the theory and practice of scenario planning in Russian regions. The article also offers certain recommendations on the use of scenarios in regional planning.
Conclusions. The article concludes that the hybrid approach in scenario planning of the development of spatial socio-economic systems (countries, regions, cities, municipalities) is more preferable than the exploratory or normative ones.

Keywords: scenario, scenario planning, territory, region

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