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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Estimation of temporal growth rate of Russian cities

Vol. 17, Iss. 3, MARCH 2019

Received: 23 January 2019

Received in revised form: 6 February 2019

Accepted: 14 February 2019

Available online: 15 March 2019

Subject Heading: SPATIAL ECONOMICS

JEL Classification: R13

Pages: 402–417

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.17.3.402

Rastvortseva S.N. National Research University Higher School of Economics (NRU – HSE), Moscow, Russian Federation
SRastvortseva@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1599-359X

Manaeva I.V. Belgorod State National Research University (BSU), Belgorod, Russian Federation
in.manaeva@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4517-7032

Subject This article deals with the issues related to the imbalance in the distribution of cities, which poses a threat to the economic development and social and political stability of Russia.
Objectives The article aims to estimate the temporal growth of Russian cities between 1897 and 2014.
Methods During the consideration of the subject matter, we applied Zipf's law, Gibrat's rule of proportionate growth, and the correlation method. The article analyzes the data of official statistics and archival materials for 1897–2014.
Results The article presents the results of the analysis of distribution of cities of Russia by number of inhabitants in the period of 1897–2014 and a temporal correlation matrix of Russian cities' growth rate during the specified period.
Conclusions The process of urban growth for the period 1897–2014 is ambiguous. Since 1989, large cities have been growing faster than the small ones due to the migration of people from small cities to larger ones. In general, the urban system of Russia is characterized as stable with uneven distribution of cities and high concentration of population in the largest of them.

Keywords: spatial economics, urban growth, Zipf's law, Gibrat's law, cities of Russia

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