Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

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Assessment and prediction for the development of air transport in the European North-East of the Russian Federation

Vol. 15, Iss. 1, JANUARY 2017

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 14 June 2016

Received in revised form: 30 June 2016

Accepted: 5 July 2016

Available online: 17 January 2017

Subject Heading: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS

JEL Classification: L93, R10, R40

Pages: 74-84

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.15.1.74

Kiselenko A.N. Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North, Komi Science Center of Ural Branch of RAS, Syktyvkar, Komi Republic, Russian Federation
kiselenko@iespn.komisc.ru

Fomina I.V. Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North, Komi Science Center of Ural Branch of RAS, Syktyvkar, Komi Republic, Russian Federation
appmin@yandex.ru

Sheveleva A.A. Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North, Komi Science Center of Ural Branch of RAS, Syktyvkar, Komi Republic, Russian Federation
AnyaSheveleva@inbox.ru

Importance The article deals with the issues of development of air transport in the European North-East of Russia.
Objectives The article aims to evaluate the activities of air transport in the European North-East of Russia and develop forecasts for air transportation in the Arkhangelsk oblast and Komi Republic in the short term.
Methods For the study, we used methods of comparative analysis, statistical analysis, and the methods of applied regression analysis. When developing the predictive models of passenger and cargo air transportation for the Arkhangelsk oblast and Komi Republic, we applied the algorithms developed by A.M. Andronov and A.N. Kiselenko.
Results We have analyzed and assessed the state of air transport in the European North-East of Russia. Using the regression methods, we have estimated the air transportation volumes for 2016–2018 for the Arkhangelsk oblast and Komi Republic, and specified directions for the development of air transport in the European North-East of Russia for the short and long term.
Conclusions and Relevance We conclude that at the current trend, the passenger and cargo air transportation volumes in the European North-East will grow. The results of the study can be used by regional authorities in the formulation of strategic documents for the socio-economic development of the territory of the European North-East of Russia.

Keywords: air transport, dynamics, forecast, Arkhangelsk oblast, Komi Republic

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