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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

A factorial approach to the regional development risk assessment (the Novgorod oblast case study)

Vol. 13, Iss. 32, AUGUST 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 12 May 2015

Accepted: 26 May 2015

Available online: 5 September 2015

Subject Heading: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 32-44

Bezdenezhnykh T.I. Saint-Petersburg State Economic University, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
girii@mail.ru

Kormanovskaya I.R. Saint-Petersburg State Economic University, Novgorod Branch, Veliky Novgorod, Russian Federation
vivat@mail.natm.ru

Kadnichanskaya M.O. Saint-Petersburg State Economic University, Novgorod Branch, Veliky Novgorod, Russian Federation
marishka78_@mail.ru

Importance The article discusses the formation of the regional risk management mechanism. This mechanism includes a strategic analysis and forecasting of risk factors, the organization of activities to achieve the targets, and the development of a methodological apparatus for managing risk within specific regions.
     Objectives The paper aims to provide the means of assessing the sustainable development of regions based on the diagnosis of regional risks, and identifying sources of risk and innovation development priorities.
     Methods For the study, we used scientific methods and techniques: abstraction, system approach, structurally-logical analysis, as well as economic-statistical analysis, monitoring, and expert estimates.
     Results The article presents a methodology of integrated risk evaluation of regional development, the distinctive feature of which is the use of individual characteristics of the region's stability under the dominating risk factors. The paper also presents a system of risk assessment indicators, characterizing the risk factors. The Novgorod oblast was a case for study.
     Conclusions and Relevance The article concludes that regions with relatively low levels of socio-economic development are characterized by a higher level of risk. The paper offers to rank risks according to the degree of their impact on the process of socio-economic development of the region. It contains recommendations on the implementation of the priority measures that can be used by the executive authorities in improving the regional policy.

Keywords: region, risk-contributing factors, risk estimation, sustainable development, innovative economy

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