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National Interests: Priorities and Security
 

Risks to the national security of the Russian Federation in light of the USA withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and the preventive measures to ensure structural modernization and technological sovereignty

Vol. 21, Iss. 5, MAY 2025

Received: 24 February 2025

Accepted: 6 March 2025

Available online: 15 May 2025

Subject Heading: GLOBALIZATION

JEL Classification: E65, F51, F63, O25, Q47

Pages: 179-198

https://doi.org/10.24891/ni.21.5.179

Oleg V. SHIMKO Center for Innovative Economics and Industrial Policy, Institute of Economics of Russian Academy of Sciences (IE RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
shima_ne@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0779-7097

Subject. This article focuses on the actions of the US President in the context of the country's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
Objectives. The article aims to identify possible risks to the national security of the Russian Federation in light of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and develop preventive measures to suppress them.
Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative analysis and generalization.
Results. The US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement is encouraging the Russian Federation to develop its own industry.
Conclusions. The policy of the current Executive Office of the President of the United States is based on a manufacturing model of economic development with an emphasis on the automotive industry, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, domestic energy resources and non-ferrous minerals, as well as the export of liquefied natural gas. US participation in the Paris Agreement is contrary to the stated policy. The main risks to the national security of the Russian Federation lie in the possible introduction of new sanctions against the automotive industry, metallurgy, coal industry and oil and gas sector. It is necessary to review the strategic planning system, as well as tax and customs legislation. It is advisable to ensure proper fulfillment of obligations within the framework of OPEC+.

Keywords: USA, Paris Agreement, national security, structural modernization, technological sovereignty

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