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National Interests: Priorities and Security

Ranking of the primary threats to the national security of the Russian Federation

Vol. 18, Iss. 10, OCTOBER 2022

Received: 4 August 2022

Received in revised form: 3 September 2022

Accepted: 19 September 2022

Available online: 14 October 2022


JEL Classification: О15, О21, О44, О51

Pages: 1905–1939


Yurii A. KRUPNOV Institute for Economic Policy and Problems of Economic Security, Financial University under Government of Russian Federation, Moscow, Russian Federation


Subject. This article deals with the issues of strengthening the sovereignty of the Russian Federation in the context of aggravation of relations with Western countries.
Objectives. The article aims to develop a methodology for the rapid and efficient identification, ranking and assessment of threats to national security characterized by the maximum potential for damage to the Russian Federation.
Methods. For the study, I used a causal analysis, analogy approach, and the method of expert assessment.
Results. The article confirms that the major threat to the national security of the Russian Federation is the country's drawing into wars and armed conflicts. Human military losses and casualties, a decrease in incomes of the population, an increase in the flow of migrants and refugees, permanent psychological stress should also be regarded as a high-ranking threat.
Conclusions. The proposed methodology for ranking threats simplifies the development of the national security status indicators.

Keywords: threats and risks, threat ranking, national security, economic and military power


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