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National Interests: Priorities and Security

Assessment of factors affecting the socio-demographic situation of a single-industry town

Vol. 18, Iss. 9, SEPTEMBER 2022

Received: 30 June 2022

Received in revised form: 11 August 2022

Accepted: 27 August 2022

Available online: 15 September 2022


JEL Classification: R50, R58

Pages: 1758–1777


Mariya A. NIKONOVA Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation


Ekaterina V. AKINFEEVA Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation


Subject. The article considers special aspects of economic development of a single-industry town.
Objectives. The purpose is to identify factors affecting the socio-demographic position of Zverevo single-industry town, Rostov Oblast, by building regression models.
Methods. The study rests on methods of statistical, correlation-regression analysis.
Results. Demographic situation in the single-industry town is characterized by a decrease in the population due to a drop in the birth rate (with a slight increase in mortality). The creation of new enterprises and jobs has no positive impact on the demographic situation in the single-industry town.
Conclusions. The constructed regression models can be used in the analysis of demographic situation in various regions of Russia.

Keywords: single-industry town, socio-demographic situation, city-forming enterprise, regression analysis, model


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