Subject. The article addresses treats to the economic security of Russia’s regions in conditions of large-scale introduction of information and communication technologies. Objectives. The purpose is to explore problems of assessing the level of economic security of regional systems, analyze the impact of digitalization on systemic risks and threats to territory development. Methods. The developed approach rests on methods of statistical data processing, the criterion of the shortest distance to the optimum, methods for constructing a fuzzy set and membership function, aggregation of indicators given the probability of occurrence of events. Results. I obtained statistical estimates of the level of economic security and risk of the regions of Yenisei Siberia. The paper establishes the fact of rising risks and a decrease in the level of economic security of the territories, taking into account the influence of digitalization processes. Conclusions. Processes of digital transformation entail an increase in risks and threats to economic security. This problem is particularly acute in the territories that have a smaller margin of safety in terms of parameters and indicators of socio-economic development.
Keywords: economic security, risk, digital transformation, membership function
References:
Zalesov S.V., Krekova Ya.A., Voronina E.A. et al. Problemy ekonomicheskoi bezopasnosti: teoriya i praktika: monografiya [Problems of economic security: theory and practice: a monograph]. Yekaterinburg, Ural State Forest Engineering University Publ., 2019, 167 p.
Grigoreva E., Garifova L. The Economic Security of the State: The Institutional Aspect. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2015, vol. 24, pp. 266–273. URL: Link00658-9
Skomoroshchenko A.A., Myshonkova E.S., Kolesnik A.V. [Ensuring economic security of the region based on the assessment of threats in the real sector of economy]. Vestnik Altaiskoi akademii ekonomiki i prava = Bulletin of Altai Academy of Economics and Law, 2020, no. 1, part 2, pp. 101–106. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Akhmetshin E.M., Pavlyuk A.V., Kokorev A.S. et al. Assessment of the Economic Security of the Region (on the Example of Chelyabinsk Region). Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, 2018, vol. 13, iss. 8, pp. 2309–2322. URL: Link
Iefimova G., Labartkava A., Pashchenko O. Methodical Support of Assessment of the Development of Economic Security of the Region. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, vol. 6, iss. 5, pp. 113 –117. URL: Link
Orlova A.V., Lyshchikova J.V., Nikulina Ye.V., Anokhin Ye.I. Assessment of the Level of Economic Security in the Conditions of Uncertainty. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2016, vol. 6, iss. 4, pp. 1702–1706. URL: Link
Akberdina V.V., Kocherbaeva A.A., Smirnova O.P. Methods for Assessment of the Economic Security Level in the Region. Espacios, 2018, vol. 39, no. 24, pp. 28–35. URL: Link
Hacker J.S., Huber G.A., Nichols A. et al. The Economic Security Index: A New Measure for Research and Policy Analysis. Review of Income and Wealth, 2014, vol. 60, iss. 51, pp. 5–32. URL: Link
Klimuk V.V., Piskunov V.A., Pecherskaya E.P., Tarasova T.M. Methodical Approaches to Assessing the Economic Security. In: Mantulenko V. (ed.) Global Challenges and Prospects of the Modern Economic Development. European Proceedings of Social and Behavioural Sciences. London, Palmers Green, 2019, pp. 283–290. URL: Link
Pokorny J., Machalova B., Slivkova S. et al. Planning of Safety of Cities and Territory from the Point of View of Population Protection in the Czech Republic. Sustainability, 2020, vol. 12, iss. 22. URL: Link
Cafiso S., La Cava G., Montella A. Safety Index for Evaluation of Two-Lane Rural Highways. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2007, vol. 2019, no. 1, pp. 136–145. URL: Link
Wang Q., Yang C., Tian L. et al. Safety Risk Assessment of Heritage Buildings in Metro Construction Based on SPA theory: A Case Study in Zhengzhou, China. Heritage Science, 2020, vol. 8, iss. 1. URL: Link
Zhou Q., Luo J. The Study on Evaluation Method of Urban Network Security in the Big Data Era. Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, 2018, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 133–138. URL: Link
Kolesnikov S.I., Dolzhenko L.M. Methodology for Assessing the Level of the Territory’s Economic Security. In: Pinelas S., Kim A., Vlasov V. (eds) Mathematical Analysis with Applications. CONCORD-90 2018. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics. Cham, Springer, 2020, vol. 318, pp. 359–364. URL: Link
Nam Y., Lee Y., McMahon S., Sherraden M. New Measures of Economic Security and Development: Savings Goals for Short- and Long-Term Economic Needs. Journal of Consumer Affairs, 2015, vol. 50, iss. 3, pp. 611–637. URL: Link
Khairullov D.S., Saipullaev U.A. Management of Social and Economic Security of the Region. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 2014, vol. 5, no. 12, pp. 177–182. URL: Link
Ivanova A.A., Tufetulov A.M., Gazizullin R.I. [Conceptual aspects of ensuring economic security]. Modern Economy Success, 2020, no. 6, pp. 16–21. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Zadeh L.A. Fuzzy Sets. Information and Control, 1965, vol. 8, pp. 338–353. URL: Link
Shakirov V.A. [Multi-criteria evaluation of alternatives under conditions of uncertainty in the decision maker's preferences based on utility theory]. Nechetkie Sistemy i Myagkie Vychisleniya, 2018, vol. 13, iss. 1, pp. 17–35. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Coroiu A.M. Fuzzy Methods in Decision Making Process – A Particular Approach in Manufacturing Systems. IOP Conference Series Materials Science and Engineering, 2015, no. 95, iss. 1. URL: Link
Hwang C.-L., Yoon K. Multiple Attribute Decision Making: Methods and Applications. A State-of-the-Art Survey. Berlin, Springer-Verlag, 1981, 269 p. URL: Link