Subject. The article focuses on the self-motion of the Russian educational system. Objectives. The study determines directions of the self-evolution of the Russian educational system and shows the outcome. Methods. The study is based on the systems approach and statistical, neural network and cluster analysis. Results. I indicate what impedes the evolution and development of the Russian educational system. As a result of the neural network analysis of growth rates of the self-evolution of the Russian educational system and World Bank data, I figured out the hierarchy of material indicators of its structure. The hierarchy of the material indicators is declarative of the feminization of the Russian educational system in terms of its self-evolution, and the prevalence of women in the social reality. As a result of the cluster analysis of growth rates in the self-evolution of the Russian educational system, I revealed the cause of the feminization. Having analyzed growth rates of the self-evolution of the Russian educational system and referring to data of UNESCO Institute of Statistics, I completed a view of the future development of the Russian educational system. The self-evolution of the Russian educational system was found to have negative effects, such as a considerably slowed down growth in the number of younger schoolchildren and pre-school children, significantly lagging growth rates of governmental spending on education out of total governmental expenditures. Conclusions and Relevance. As the education system gets more and more important in the emerging world order, it is strategic for the national security. We witness the apparent feminization of the self-evolution of the Russian educational system, which changes principles of social development, paving the way to the predominance of women in the social reality. As the principles of the Russian society development change due to the feminization of the self-evolution of the Russian educational system, the uncertainty of its future existence grows even greater. The findings contribute to the required level of competence of governmental authorities to make administrative decisions that may save the Russian educational system.
Keywords: national security, uncertainty of prospects, educational system, self-evolution, social evolution, feminization
References:
Novikov D.A. Vvedenie v teoriyu upravleniya obrazovatel'nymi sistemami [Introduction to the theory of management of educational systems]. Moscow, Egves Publ., 2009, 156 p.
Grechko M.V. [Ontological study and evaluation of intellectual capital reproduction at the current development stage of the national economy]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2018, vol. 14, iss. 4, pp. 658–672. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Astaf'eva O.V. [A study into the governance specifics of educational institutions through the lens of the digitization effect on the educational proces]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2019, vol. 15, iss. 4, pp. 772–783. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Roth T., Siegert M. Does the Selectivity of an Educational System Affect Social Inequality in Educational Attainment? Empirical Findings for the Transition from Primary to Secondary Level in Germany. European Sociological Review, 2016, vol. 32, iss. 6, pp. 779–791. URL: Link
Forster A.G., Werfhorst H.G. Navigating Institutions: Parents’ Knowledge of the Educational System and Students’ Success in Education. European Sociological Review, 2020, vol. 36, iss. 1, pp. 48–64. URL: Link
Jackson M., Khavenson T., Chirkina T. Raising the Stakes: Inequality and Testing in the Russian Education System. Social Forces, 2020, vol. 98, iss. 4, pp. 1613–1635. URL: Link
Nedospasova O.P., Kaida A.Yu., Nedospasov A.A. [Higher education financing in the face of economic instability: The general and the particular for OECD countries]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2016, vol. 12, iss. 7, pp. 178–191. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Beach J., Med J.B. Early Childhood Programs and the Education. Paediatrics and Child Health, 2009, vol. 14, iss. 10, pp. 666–668. URL: Link
Díez F., Villa A., Lopez A.L., Iraurgi I. Impact of Quality Management Systems in the Performance of Educational Centers: Educational Policies and Management Processes. Heliyon, 2020, vol. 6, iss. 4, Article e03824. URL: Link
Tamaki K., Arakawa M., Arame M., Ono Y. Development of Educational Programs for System Creators and Business Producers in Future Strategy Design in Action Project Group Activities Through Industry-University Cooperation. Procedia Manufacturing, 2019, vol. 39, pp. 1377–1382. URL: Link
Basler A., Kriesi I. Adolescents’ Development of Occupational Aspirations in a Tracked and Vocation-Oriented Educational System. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 2019, vol. 115, Article 103330. URL: Link
Huisman J., Lepori B., Seeber M., Frølich N., Scordato L. Measuring Institutional Diversity Across Higher Education Systems. Research Evaluation, 2015, vol. 24, iss. 4, pp. 369–379. URL: Link
Blommaert L., Muja A., Gesthuizen M., Wolbers M.H.J. The Vocational Specificity of Educational Systems and Youth Labour Market Integration: A Literature Review and Meta-Analysis. European Sociological Review, 2020, vol. 36, iss. 5, Article jcaa017. URL: Link
Taraskina A.V., Obukhova N.S., Zolotova S.V. [Assessing the economic security of territorial higher education systems managed at a regional level]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2017, vol. 13, iss. 12, pp. 2312–2334. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Nidergaus E.O. [The risks of academic environment transformation: Reality or Myth?]. Vestnik Permskogo natsional'nogo issledovatel'skogo politekhnicheskogo universiteta. Sotsial'no-ekonomicheskie nauki = PNRPU Sociology and Economics Bulletin, 2017, no. 3, pp. 87–98. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Zakharova E.Yu., Porsh L.A. [Features of education feminization trends in modern Russian society]. Uchenye zapiski Zabaikal'skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta =Scientific Notes of the Trans-Baikal State University, 2017, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 93–97. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Sushko N.G. [The feminization of secondary education as a socio-psychological problem]. Uchenye zametki TOGU, 2017, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 536–541. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Baranova N.M., Sorokin L.V. [The role of research and development in sustainable economic development]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' = National Interests: Priorities and Security, 2017, vol. 13, iss. 11, pp. 2035–2048. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Kucera D., Tejani S. Feminization, Defeminization, and Structural Change in Manufacturing. World Development, 2014, vol. 64, pp. 569–582. URL: Link
Aisa R., Larramona G., Pueyo F. Poverty in Europe by Gender: The Role of Education and Labour Status. Economic Analysis and Policy, 2019, vol. 63, pp. 24–34. URL: Link