Importance Currently, the Institute of Military and Technical Educational Programs (IMTEP) of the Saint Petersburg State Polytechnic University has developed a number of methods for assessment and risk management in the technogenic sphere. At the same time, inadequate or no attention is paid to the emergency problems in the social sphere, where threats to stability may at any time become emergencies. Methods The main purpose of this article is to try to attract attention of the IMTEP staff, graduate students, students and colleagues from other educational institutions on the need for research in the field of risk analysis in the social sphere. We have reviewed the media reports and studies on the considered topic. In accordance with the principles of system analysis, the article discusses upper hierarchical levels of threats to the State stability, which directly affect the vital interests of an individual. Results We conclude that based on the concept of national security and the results of the integrated analysis of potential capacities, the country is under formation of a long-term State policy of national security. The paper provides a definition of social risk as a special type of risk, where an individual, a particular social group or the entire society act as a subject and an object of risk. The probability of negative consequences for these social groups is conditioned by the inconsistency of individual (group) social actions with the processes in the surrounding social space, occurring in the environment of really existing uncertainty. Conclusions and Relevance We found out that risk and its assessment represent secondary, less informative characteristics for the social sphere, which are not able to affect the optimization of requirement to basic parameters of the system, on the development of the process under consideration.
Keywords: Keywords: system analysis, risk, national security, threat
References:
Anthropogenous pollution of the natural environment: extent and consequences. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Binenko V.I., Donchenko V.K. Riski stikhiinykh bedstvii i otsenka ikh posledstvii [Natural disaster risks and the assessment of their consequences]. Problemy bezopasnosti i ChS – Issues of security and emergencies, 2010, no. 2, pp. 70–90.
Binenko V.I., Donchenko V.K., Rastoskuev V.V. Riski i ekologicheskaya bezopasnost' prirodno-khozyaistvennykh sistem [Risks and environmental security of natural and economic systems]. St. Petersburg, SPSPU Publ., 2012, 353 p.
Binenko V.I., Khramov G.N., Yakovlev V.V. Chrezvychainye situatsii v sovremennom mire i problemy bezopasnosti zhiznedeyatel'nosti [Emergency situations in the modern world and problems of life safety]. St. Petersburg, IMTEP of SPSPU Publ., 2004, 400 p.
Butkov P.P. [Alternative energy in Russia]. Problemy bezopasnosti v chrezvychainykh situatsiyakh: materialy nauchno-praktich. konf. [Proc. Sci. Conf. “The security problems in emergency situations”]. St. Petersburg, IMTEP of SPSPU, 2010, pp. 3–8.
Vikulov S.F., Khrustalev E.Yu. Ekonomicheskie osnovy voennoi bezopasnosti Rossii [Economic foundations of the Russian military security]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' – National interests: priorities and security, 2014, no. 7, pp. 2–10.
Gumenyuk V.I., Kulinkovich A.V., Klimzov A.G. [The scientific and technical policy of the State in the field of protection of the population and territories from emergency situations]. Problemy bezopasnosti v chrezvychainykh situatsiyakh: materialy nauchno-praktich. konf. [Proc. Sci. Conf. “The security problems in emergency situations”]. St. Petersburg, IMTEP of SPSPU, 2010, pp 31–33.
Zhmailo A.I. Sotsial'nyi risk kak pokazatel' sotsietal'noi transformatsii sovremennogo obshchestva [Social risk as an indicator of societal transformation in the modern society]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Kiseleva I.A., Simonovich N.E. Problemy samorealizatsii lichnosti v sovremennykh usloviyakh innovatsii [Problems of personal self-realization in the modern conditions of innovation]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' – National interests: priorities and security, 2014, no. 6, pp. 53–57.
Order of RF President “On Approval of the Concept of the Russian Federation transition to sustainable development” of April 01, 1996 № 440. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Methodological aspects of assessing the impact on the natural and socio-economic environment. Available at: Link /eia/documents/CentralAsiaGuidelines/Annex% 204%20-%20Russian.pdf. (In Russ.)
Mekhanik A. Elitnoe obrazovanie dlya vsekh [Elite education across-the-board]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Mushketova N.S. Strategiya prodvizheniya Rossii na mirovom rynke obrazovatel'nykh uslug vuzov [The strategy of Russia’s promotion in the global market of educational services of higher educational institutions]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' – National interests: priorities and security, 2014, no. 5, pp. 9–15.
Fire safety problems: their solutions and improvement of fire protection. Available at: Link 10995/4053/2/conf_fire_2012.pdf. (In Russ.)
We are responsible for Russia. Message of the President of the Russian Federation to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation of February 23, 1996. Available at: Link poslanie_prezidenta_rosii_borisa_ elcina_federalnomu _sobraniju_rf_rossija_za_kotoruju _my_v_otvete_1996_god.html. (In Russ.)
Commodity structure of exports and imports in Russia. The problem of diversifying and rationalizing trade turnover. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Threats to the Russian national security. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Characteristics of the Russian petroleum industry. Available at: Link coreview00059/default.asp. (In Russ.)
Yakovlev V.V. Ekologicheskaya bezopasnost', otsenka riska [Environmental security, risk assessment]. St. Petersburg, SPSPU Publ., 2008, 501 p.
Yakovlev V.V., Gravit M.V., Nedryshkin O.V. Perspektivy razvitiya programmnykh kompleksov rascheta pozharnogo riska i proektirovaniya protsessov peshekhodnoi dinamiki v usloviyakh pozhara [Prospects for developing software systems for fire risk calculation and designing pedestrian dynamics processes in the event of fire]. Nauchno-tekhnicheskie vedomosti – Scientific and technical news, 2014, no. 3, pp. 17–21.
