The article proposes to use test cards as a tool to detecting deviations in controlling system. The authors discuss this proposal on the example of monitoring the flight safety level. The paper considers possibility to use a new indicator of flight safety level and new method of its monitoring in practice of airlines. The authors offer as an ERC indicator developed by ARMS' group, and as a method of its monthly and weekly monitoring i.e. method of cumulative sums.
Butov A.A., Volkov M.A., Makarov V.P., Orlov A.I., Sharov V.D. Avtomatizirovannaia sistema prognozirovaniia i predotvrashcheniia aviatsionnykh proisshestvii pri organizatsii i proizvodstve vozdushnykh perevozok [Automated system to predict and prevent accidents in the organization and production of air transport]. Izvestiia Samarskogo nauchnogo tsentra RAN – Proceedings of Samara Scientific Center of RAS, 2012, vol. 14, no. 4, pp. 380–385.
Butov A.A., Orlov A.I., Sharov V.D. [Problem management of the airlines’ group]. Upravlenie razvitiem krupnomasshtabnykh sistem (MLSD'2011): materialy V mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii [Proc. 5th Int. Conf. “Control of the development of large-scale systems (MLSD'2011)”, vol. 2]. Moscow, V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of RAS Publ., 2011, pp. 22–25.
Butov A.A., Sharov V.D., Makarov V.P., Orlov A.I. Prognozirovanie i predotvrashchenie aviatsionnykh proisshestvii pri organizatsii i proizvodstve vozdushnykh perevozok [Prediction and prevention of accidents in the organization and production of air transport]. Vestnik SGAU – Bulletin of SSAU, 2012, no. 5, part 2, pp. 315–319.
Butov A.A., Sharov V.D., Makarov V.P., Orlov A.I. [Safety flight management in airlines based on preventing aviation accidents]. Problemy upravleniia bezopasnost'iu slozhnykh sistem: trudy XX mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii [Proc. 20th Int. Conf. “Control of Complex Systems Safety”]. Moscow, RSUH Publ., 2012, pp. 272–275.
Volkov M.A., Makarov V.P., Orlov A.I., Rukhlinskii V.M., Sannikov I.A., Sharov V.D. [Predicting flight safety and economic risk estimation]. Strategicheskoe planirovanie i razvitie predpriiatii: materialy 13-go vserossiiskogo simpoziuma [Proc. 13th Nationwide Symp. “Strategic planning and development of firms”]. Moscow, CEMI RAS Publ., 2012, pp. 43–45.
GOST R 50779.45-2002. Statistical methods. Control charts of cumulative sums. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
Guzii A.G., Lushkin A.M., Khaustov A.A., Chuiko T.A. Veroiatnostnyi podkhod k sovokupnomu kolichestvennomu otsenivaniiu urovnia bezopasnosti poletov po “piramide riskov” grazhdanskoi aviatsii Rossii [The probabilistic approach to the cumulative quantitative estimation of the flight safety level on “pyramid of risks” of civil aviation in Russia ]. Problemy bezopasnosti poletov – Problems of flight safety, 2010, no. 1, pp. 15–22.
Zubkov B.V., Poliakov P.M., Karmyzov M.V. Upravlenie bezopasnost'iu poletov. Ch. I. Programma obespecheniia bezopasnosti poletov. Rukovodstvo po upravleniiu bezopasnost'iu poletov: uchebnoe posobie [Safety flight management. Part I. A safety flight program. Guidance on flight safety management: a textbook]. Moscow, MSTUCA Publ., 2009, 132 p.
Zubkov B.V., Sharov V.D. Teoriia i praktika opredeleniia riskov v aviapredpriiatiiakh pri razrabotke sistemy upravleniia bezopasnost'iu poletov [Theory and practice of identifying risks in aviation enterprises in the development of the flight safety management system]. Moscow, MSTUCA Publ., 2010, 196 p.
Kontrolling: uchebnik [Controlling: a textbook]. Moscow, INFRA-M Publ., 2013, 336 p.
Koforova N.M., Nesterova T.A. Vozmozhnosti ispol'zovaniia metoda faktornogo analiza otklonenii v kontrollinge [The possibility of using the method of factor analysis of deviations in controlling]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriia i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2011, no. 33, pp. 59–65.
Lazarishina I.D. Sistemnye preimushchestva analiza otklonenii s uchetom sushchestvennosti informatsii [System advantages of the deviations ‘analysis taking into account importance of information]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriia i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2009, no. 6, pp. 15–19.
Murdoch J. Kontrol'nye karty [Control charts]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 1986, 132 p.
Mitrokhin I.N., Orlov A.I. Obnaruzhenie razladki s pomoshch'iu kontrol'nykh kart [Defect detection using control charts]. Zavodskaia laboratoriia. Diagnostika materialov – Industrial laboratory. Diagnosis materials, 2007, vol. 73, no. 5, pp. 74–78.
Orlov A.I. Vnedrenie sovremennykh statisticheskikh metodov s pomoshch'iu personal'nykh komp'iuterov [Implementation of modern statistical methods using personal computers]. Kachestvo i nadezhnost' izdelii – Quality and reliability of products, 1992, no. 5, pp. 51–78.
Orlov A.I. Kontrolling organizatsionno-ekonomicheskikh metodov [Controlling of organizational-economic methods]. Kontrolling – Controlling, 2008, no. 4, pp. 12–18.
Orlov A.I. Organizatsionno-ekonomicheskoe modelirovanie: uchebnik. Ch. 3. Statisticheskie metody analiza dannykh [Organizational-economic modelling: a textbook. Part 3. Statistical methods of data analysis]. Moscow, BMSTU Publ., 2012, 623 p.
Orlov A.I. Sertifikatsiia i statisticheskie metody (obobshchaiushchaia stat'ia) [Certification and statistical methods (generalizing paper)]. Zavodskaia laboratoriia. Diagnostika materialov – Industrial laboratory. Diagnosis materials, 1997, vol. 63, no. 3, pp. 55–62.
Orlov A.I., Rukhlinskii V.M., Sharov V.D. [Economic estimation of risks in flight safety control]. Strategicheskoe upravlenie i kontrolling v nekommercheskikh i publichnykh organizatsiiakh: fondy, universitety, munitsipalitety, assotsiatsii i partnerstva: materialy I mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii. Vyp. 1 [Proc. 1th Int. Conf. “Strategic Management & Controlling of non-profit and public organizations: foundations, universities, municipalities, associations and partnerships”, iss. 1]. Moscow, NP OK Publ., 2011, pp. 108–114.
Orlov A.I., Sharov V.D. [New approach to the development of indicators of the flight safety level in the airline]. Sistemy upravleniia zhiznennym tsiklom izdelii aviatsionnoi tekhniki: aktual'nye problemy, issledovaniia, opyt vnedreniia i perspektivy razvitiia: tez. dokl. III mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii. T. 1. [Proc. of reports. 3th Int. Sci. Conf. “Systems product lifecycle management aircraft: current issues, research, experience in implementation and development prospects”, vol. 1]. Ulyanovsk, Ulyanovsk St. Univ. Publ., 2012, pp. 78–79.
Orlov A.I., Sharov V.D. [Forecasting system of flight safety indicators and decision support based on the methodology of factor analysis]. Sistemy upravleniia zhiznennym tsiklom izdelii aviatsionnoi tekhniki: aktual'nye problemy, issledovaniia, opyt vnedreniia i perspektivy razvitiia: tez. dokl. III mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii. T. 1. [Proc. 3th Int. Sci. Conf. “Systems product lifecycle management aircraft: current issues, research, experience in implementation and development prospects”, vol. 1]. Ulyanovsk, Ulyanovsk St. Univ. Publ., 2012, pp. 77–78.
Pchelintseva L.B. Otsenka riskov upravleniia v praktike kontrollinga [Risk assessment in the management practice of controlling]. Finansovaia analitika: problemy i resheniia – Financial analytics: science and experience, 2012, no. 41, pp. 51–54.
Statisticheskie metody povysheniia kachestva [Statistical methods for quality improvement]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 1990, 304 p.
Fal'ko S.G. Kontrolling dlia rukovoditelei i spetsialistov [Controlling for managers and professionals]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 2008, 272 p.
Fal'ko S.G., Ivanova N.Iu. Upravlenie novovvedeniiami na vysokotekhnologichnykh predpriiatiiakh [Innovation management at the high-tech enterprises]. Moscow, BMSTU Publ., 2007, 256 p.
Khrustalev E.Iu., Burilina M.A. Instrumental'nye metody otsenki neobkhodimosti obnovleniia rossiiskogo parka passazhirskikh samoletov [Instrumental methods of estimation of the need for renovation of the Russian passenger aircraft fleet]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriia i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2013, no. 14, pp. 2–11.
Khrustalev E.Iu., Burilina M.A. Finansovo-ekonomicheskoe obosnovanie neobkhodimosti obnovleniia parka passazhirskikh samoletov [Finance-economic justification of the need to update the fleet of passenger aircraft]. Finansovaia analitika: problemy i resheniia – Financial analytics: science and experience, 2013, no. 12, pp. 2–12.
Khrustalev E.Iu., Sokolov N.A., Khrustalev O.E. Kontseptsiia otsenki i upravleniia riskom pri realizatsii innovatsionnykh proektov sozdaniia intellektual'noi produktsii [The concept of risk estimation and control in the implementation of innovative projects to create of intellectual products]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriia i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2013, no. 44, pp. 2–13.
Sharov V.D. [Automation of process of flight safety control in airlines]. II Charnovskie chteniia: materialy II mezhdunarodnoi nauchnoi konferentsii po organizatsii proizvodstva [Second Charnov Reading. Proc. 2th Int. Conf. on the production organization]. Moscow, NP “Association of controllers”, 2012, pp. 177–181.
Sharov V.D. O nekotorykh matematicheskikh i logicheskikh ogranicheniiakh na ispol'zovanie matritsy riska v SUBP [On some mathematical and logical restrictions on the use of a risk matrix in the Systems of Control of Flight Safety]. Nauchnyi vestnik MGTU GA – Scientific bulletin of MSTUCA, 2009, no. 149, pp. 179–181.
Sharov V.D. Primenenie novoi metodologii otsenki i monitoringa riska sobytii v deiatel'nosti aviakompanii [Application of a new methodology for estimation and monitoring the risk events in the airline's activity]. Problemy bezopasnosti poletov – Problems of flight safety, 2009, no. 11, pp. 17–26.
Sharov V.D. Primenenie novoi metodologii otsenki riska opasnostei [Application of a new methodology for estimation the risk of dangers]. Problemy bezopasnosti poletov – Problems of flight safety, 2009, no. 12, pp. 5–12.
Sharov V.D., Makarov V.P., Orlov A.I., Volkov M.A., Sannikov I.A., Rukhlinskii V.M. [Controlling of the flight safety management]. Materialy II mezhdunarodnogo kongressa po kontrollingu. Vyp. 2. [Proc. 2th Int. Cong. of Controlling, iss. 2]. Moscow, NP “Association of controllers”, 2012. pp. 222–232.
Nisula J. Operational Risk Assessment. Next Generation Methodology, 2009. Available at: Link.
