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National Interests: Priorities and Security
 

Formulation of methodological approach to forecasting of economic risks in supporting of national food supply security in recognition of cycle nature of agricultural system development

Vol. 9, Iss. 44, NOVEMBER 2013

Available online: 7 December 2013

Subject Heading: THREATS AND SECURITY

JEL Classification: 

Ivanova I.A. PhD in Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, the Department of Statistics, Econometrics and Information Technologies in Management, the Mordovia State University named after N.P. Ogarev
ivia16@mail.ru

In the article research of stability of the agro-food system, based on studying of existential regularities of recurrence of development of agriculture as main component of system of food security is presented. For justification of recurrence of processes in agriculture by means of the spectral analysis the mathematical model of forecasting on the basis of the analysis of temporary ranks of productivity grain in the European part of Russia for the last 130 years is considered.

Keywords: food supply security, agricultural system, stability, agriculture, manufacture

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ISSN 2311-875X (Online)
ISSN 2073-2872 (Print)

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