National Interests: Priorities and Security

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National Interests: Priorities and Security

43(232) - 2013 November

Features of risk assessment to create rocket and space technology

Vol. 9, Iss. 43, NOVEMBER 2013

Available online: 30 November 2013

Subject Heading: THREATS AND SECURITY

JEL Classification:

Orlov A.I. Doctor of Economics, Doctor of Technical Sciences, PhD in Physics and Mathematics , Professor, Head of the Laboratory of Economics and Mathematical Methods in Controlling Research and Education Center, "Controlling and Management of Innovation", the Moscow State Technical University named after N.E. Bauman
prof-orlov@mail.ru

Tsisarsky A.D. PhD of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, the Department of Business Administration, the Moscow State Technical University named after N.E. Bauman
93105948@tsniimash.ru

In the article the additive and multiplicative model of an assessment of risks developed in a general view for the first time is presented. In the two-level scheme at the bottom level of an assessment of risks unite it is additive, on the top - multiplicatively. The additive and multiplicative model is applied to an assessment of risks of projects of creation of the missile and space equipment. 44 private risks at the bottom level and 8 - on top, according to stages of implementation of the project are allocated. Conditional examples are considered.

Keywords: risk assessment, modeling, projects, rocket and space technology, probability expert procedures

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ISSN 2311-875X (Online)
ISSN 2073-2872 (Print)

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