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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

Modeling of factors determining the profitability of investment funds

ISSUE 1, MARCH 2026

Received: 24 November 2025

Accepted: 17 December 2025

Available online: 26 February 2026

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC AND STATISTICAL RESEARCH

JEL Classification: С51, С58, G15, G17

Pages: 108-123

https://doi.org/10.24891/qvykxr

Ekaterina V. KOROLEVA Corresponding author, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (SPbPU), St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
koroleva_ev@spbstu.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2640-5906

Anna R. SEREZHENKOVA Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (SPbPU), St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
serezhenkova.ar@edu.spbstu.ru

ORCID id: not available

Anna S. POLUBATONOVA Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (SPbPU), St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
anna.polubatonova@yandex.ru

ORCID id: not available

Subject. The study is devoted to identifying the determinants that determine the profitability of exchange-traded investment funds.
Objectives. Construction of an econometric model of multiple linear regression aimed at identifying the statistically significant impact of a combination of internal characteristics of funds and external macroeconomic indicators on their profitability.
Methods. To achieve this goal, a multiple linear regression model was built. The dependent variable was the profitability of exchange-traded investment funds.
Results. Based on the results of building a multiple linear regression model, the following statistically significant factors were identified that affect the profitability of exchange-traded investment funds: the key rate, the expense ratio, the turnover ratio, the degree of active management and the level of liquidity of the securities forming the fund's portfolio. The importance of key macroeconomic and institutional parameters for the formation of profitability of exchange-traded investment funds has been empirically confirmed.
Conclusions. The results obtained have practical significance for investors and managers, as they form a quantitative basis for selecting exchange-traded investment funds, assessing their investment attractiveness, and designing effective strategies that ensure an optimal balance between costs, risk, and potential returns.

Keywords: exchange-traded investment funds, determinants, modeling, profitability

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