Subject. The article investigates the limit of lending in modern Russia. Objectives. The purpose is to identify the limit of lending in modern Russia. Methods. The study is based on systems approach, using the method of statistical analysis. Results. The study unveils a significant growth and scope of the dynamics of loans with floating (variable) interest rate. The dynamics of the monetary base (M2) and the broad money supply shows a mirror maximum range of growth rates of the broad money supply and M2. The paper establishes an exponential trend of weighted average interest rates on loans in rubles to individuals and a polynomial trend on loans to non?financial organizations. The increase in the credit burden on households is associated with an increase in weighted average interest rates on loans, caused by the need to increase internal borrowings, which is only possible by increasing the average coupon on federal loan bonds. Conclusions. The revealed lending limit in modern Russia, associated with the ability of the non-financial sector and households to cover the debt in the context of increasing the money supply and domestic borrowings, indicates the possibilities for the development of the Russian economy.
Keywords: money supply, lending, federal loan bond, interest rate
References:
Fungacova Z., Schoors K., Solanko L., Weill L. Staying on top: Political cycles in private bank lending. Journal of Comparative Economics, 2023, vol. 51, iss. 3, pp. 899–917. URL: Link
Martins A.M., Correia P., Gouveia R. Russia-Ukraine conflict: The effect on European banks’ stock market returns. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2023, vol. 67, no. 100786. URL: Link
Celil H.S., Julio B., Selvam S. Investment sensitivity to lender default shocks. Journal of Corporate Finance, 2023, vol. 79, no. 102311. URL: Link
Krinichanskii K.V. [The non-financial sector debt: Global trends]. Finansy i kredit =Finance and Credit, 2021, vol. 27, iss. 1, pp. 41–62. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Yandiev A.A. [The essence and role of households in the modern economy]. Finansovaya analitika: problemy i resheniya = Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, 2023, vol. 16, iss. 1, pp. 65–80. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Konovalova M.E., Evseev E.V. [Converting household savings into investments through a portfolio of securities]. Kreativnaya ekonomika = Journal of Creative Economy, 2023, vol. 17, no. 6, pp. 2319–2338. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Glebkova I.Yu. [Statistical study of savings of the Russian population]. Vestnik Altaiskoi akademii ekonomiki i prava = Journal of Altai Academy of Economics and Law, 2023, no. 5-1, pp. 64–67. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Kublin I.M., Stavitskii I.A. [Savings: Current trends and problems of attraction]. Paradigmy upravleniya, ekonomiki i prava = Paradigms of Management, Economics and Law, 2022, no. 2, pp. 122–129. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Bubnova Yu.B., Maslennikova E.A. [Problems of Transformation of Household Savings into Investments]. Baikal Research Journal, 2021, vol. 12, no. 1. (In Russ.) URL: Link.6
Shipunova V.V., Klimashina Yu.S., Ivanova E.V. [Methodological Basis for the analysis of household credit risk in the modern economy]. Upravlencheskii uchet = Management Accounting, 2022, no. 10-2, pp. 433–444. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Yang Wu, Ziyang Wang, Jianming Yao, Haixiang Guo. Joint decision of order allocation and lending in the multi-supplier scenario purchase order financing. International Journal of Production Economics, 2023, vol. 255, no. 108710. URL: Link
Guseva A.P., Zhesterov P.V., Milov P.O., Pindyurina Y.V. Risk Management in Lending based on Assets of Small and Medium Enterprises. Finansy i upravlenie = Finance and Management, 2023, no. 1, pp. 1–17. URL: Link
Jianyu Fang, Jialiang Zhu. The impact of open banking on traditional lending in the BRICS. Finance Research Letters, 2023, vol. 58, Part A, no. 104300. URL: Link