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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

The growth slowdown in the industrial sector of the Russian economy and its implications

Vol. 8, Iss. 12, MARCH 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Available online: 31 March 2015

Subject Heading: MONITORING OF ECONOMIC PROCESSES

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 25-37

Kosov M.E. Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation
kosovme@gmail.ru

Akhmadeev R.G. Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation
ahm_rav@mail.ru

Importance The article presents the analysis of growth slowdown in the industrial sector of the Russian economy. According to the preliminary data of the Federal Service of State Statistics, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Russia amounted to 70.975 trillion rubles, i.e. the economy expanded by 0.6%. Compared with the same period in 2013, the economy grew by 1.3%. The devaluation of the Russian ruble slightly revived the domestic demand and stabilized the situation in the public sector. However, the downside of this process is accelerated pace of inflation and greater concentration of resources in the Russian fuel and energy sector.
     Objectives The objective of the work is to analyze the growth slowdown in the industrial sector of the Russian economy and its implications.
     Methods In the paper, using econometric methods, we analyzed various aspects of performance and financial status of enterprise operating in the major sectors of the economy.
     Results We highlighted that the government programs for promoting certain sectors of economy are not fully operational. The development and implementation of the programs independently, without taking into account the total demand for financial, material, technical, human and other limited resources, is a material weakness. Uncertainty of economic environment causing the general stagnation of business leads to profit shrinkage. The capital outflow does not promote investment growth either. At the same time, export of capital in 2014 was largely from the non-banking sector. This testifies to the reluctance of entrepreneurs to invest capital in production development. Therefore, this implies reducing capital investment at the expense of equity capital of enterprises.
     Conclusions and Relevance Using the findings, we conclude that investment problems will very likely affect the automobile industry, mechanical engineering, and construction industry. In addition, all industries involved in construction will definitely face serious problems, i.e. production of all sorts of construction materials, steel industry and production of finishing material. Within the framework of modern national credit and financial system, it is necessary to follow the basic goals of modernization, Russian economy development and substitution of external loans. We proposed a set of measures aimed at expanding the monetary and credit system over the medium term, including a mechanism for establishing special institutions for investment development. Relying on foreign experience in stimulating economic activity of small and medium-sized businesses, it is necessary to extend the application of accelerated depreciation of fixed assets, as well as to exempt from taxation the income of enterprises exporting at least 50% of products they manufacture using Russian intellectual property (for the investment's payback period) or, the enterprises manufacturing import-substituting products and selling them in the Russian Federation.

Keywords: crisis phenomena, economy, loss-making enterprises, net financial result, manufacturing sector, investment activity, depreciation policy, banking activity

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