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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

A mixed economy model: the further development

Vol. 7, Iss. 31, AUGUST 2014

Available online: 16 August 2014

Subject Heading: ISSUES ON ECONOMICS

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 14-25

Grachev I.D. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russian Federation
idg19@mail.ru

Nekrasov S.A. United Institute of High Temperatures, RAS, Moscow, Russian Federation
s_a_n1@bk.ru

Patosha O.I. National Research University - Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russian Federation
o.patosha@gmail.ru

The authors continue multidisciplinary study of the characteristics of the real and virtual markets and mechanisms, as well as factors for taking of the managerial decisions by market agents. The article puts an emphasis on the further study and development of the model of mixed markets taking into account primarily the psychological aspects of behavior and decision-making by economic agents, for which purpose a number of numerical experiments have been carried out. The paper describes the changes of the investment rate of real and virtual capital market relative to a reference rate of growth for several experiments. The autocorrelations of the values of growth rates and autocorrelation of the values of deviations from the reference growth rate for each experiment have been calculated. At the later stage, the average values of the autocorrelations growth and growth rate deviations from the reference value have been used. The experimental results demonstrate that the values of real growth rate of real and virtual market capital are held subject to autocorrelated dependence. The authors perform an analysis of the deviations of the real GDP values of the United States of America and Russia, as well as the Dow Jones and RTS indexes from the selected logistic curve. On the basis of the analysis of the "behavior" of the Dow Jones and RTS indexes, the authors arrive at conclusion that the Russian stock market is unattractive for investment. The authors conducted a study of the peculiarities and problems of small business in Russia and highlighted the problems associated with the organizational structure of small business and the specifics of decision taking, as well as the influence of external factors. The paper sets an objective to identify psychological mechanisms and decision-making factors in the process of organization of investment by private persons in the virtual economy.

Keywords: mixed economy model, market, statistical assembly, numerical experiment, random error component, volatility, stock market, market agent, psychological mechanism, decision-making factors, decision error

References:

  1. Grachev I.D., Eliseeva E.A. K voprosu o tochnosti otsenivaniya rynochnykh stoimostei na real'no-virtual'nykh rynkakh [On the issue of the accuracy of the estimation of market values for real and virtual markets]. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' – National interests: priorities and security, 2011, no. 38, pp. 15–21.
  2. Grachev I.D., Mitin I.N. Real'no-virtual'nyi rynok i ego optimizatsiya [Real and virtual marketplace and its optimization]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2013, no. 18, pp. 13–21.
  3. Grachev I.D., Mitin I.N., Berestnev D.A. Optimizatsiya virtual'nykh rynkov [Optimization of virtual markets]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2012, no. 28, pp. 14–22.
  4. Grachev I.D., Noakk N.V. Kombinirovannaya model' real'no-virtual'noi ekonomiki [A combination model of the real and virtual economy]. Audit i finansovyi analizAudit and financial analysis, 2011, no. 1, pp. 92–101.
  5. Grachev I.D., Patosha O.I., Znamenskaya A.N. Problema izucheniya riska i neopredelennosti i oshibki ekonomicheskogo agenta. Modeli i metody innovatsionnoi ekonomiki [Study of risk and uncertainty and errors of an economic agent. In: Models and methods of innovation economy]. Мoscow, International Academy of Social Sciences Publ., 2012, pp. 65–67.
  6. Patosha O.I. Individual'no-psikhologicheskie osobennosti prinyatiya resheniya kak professional'no-znachimye kachestva studentov ekonomicheskogo vuza [Individual and psychological features of decision making as professionally meaningful qualities of the students of economic universities]. Vestnik Vostochno-Sibirskoi akademii obrazovaniya – Bulletin of East-Siberian Education Academy, 2013, iss. 19, pp. 131–135.
  7. Brehm J.W. A Theory of Psychological Reactance. N.Y., 1970.
  8. Ficshoff G., Beyth R. “I knew it would happen”: Remembered probabilities of once future things. Org. Behav. and Human. Perform., 1975, vol. 13, pp. 1–16.
  9. Starr M.K. Management: A Modern Approach. N.Y., 1971.

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