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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

Assessment of production solvency of the agricultural enterprises in conditions of uncertainty and risk

Vol. 7, Iss. 16, APRIL 2014

Available online: 27 April 2014

Subject Heading: BUSINESS ASSESSMENT

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 30-36

Dolgova S.A. Orel State Agrarian University, Orel, Russian Federation
s_a_dolgova@mail.ru

Lending process associated with the action of multiple risk factors that can lead to outstanding loans and interest thereon. Bank loans to borrowers makes it necessary to study these factors, the development of indicators and improving methods for assessing the creditworthiness of borrowers taking into account their production process, which leads to the need to develop approaches to estimating the probability of formation of achieving results in the production sphere. The article proposes the method of estimating the production viability of agricultural enterprises, based on the use of mathematical methods and models to improve the effectiveness decision on issuance of credit in the conditions of risk and uncertainty.

Keywords: criterion of a choice of decisions, mathematical methods, models, stability coefficient, variation coefficient, cumulative probability

References:

  1. Glushko V.V., Glushko I.I. Razrabotka upravlencheskogo resheniia. Prognozirovanie – planirovanie. Teoriia proektirovaniia eksperimentov [Development of administrative decision. Forecasting – planning. Theory of design of experiments]. Zheleznodorozhnyi, Moscow region, TOO NPTs “Kryl'ia” Publ., 1997, 400 p.
  2. Zagaitov I.B., Polovinkin P.D. Ekonomicheskie problemy povysheniia ustoichivosti sel'skokhoziaistvennogo proizvodstva [Economic problems of increase of stability of agricultural production]. Moscow, Ekonomika Publ., 1984, 240 p.

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ISSN 2311-8768 (Online)
ISSN 2073-4484 (Print)

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