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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

On the methods of evaluating the long memory of the financial time series

Vol. 3, Iss. 13, OCTOBER 2010

Available online: 8 October 2010

Subject Heading: MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF ANALYSIS IN THE ECONOMY

JEL Classification: 

Shchetinin E.Y. professor of chair «Applied mathematics» Moscow state technology university «Stankin»
Riviera-molto@mail.ru

This paper deals with several aspects in time series modeling concerning estimation and tests of long memory, fractional integration, and co integration, as well as applications to financial data. The aim of the paper is to develop new and improved estimation and testing techniques, in particular to extend existing work concerning fractional processes and also to introduce new areas of application. The formulation allows the widely used rational autoregressive integrated moving average ARFIMA models and our asymptotic results provide a theoretical justification of the findings in simulations that the local Whittle estimator is robust to deterministic polynomial trends. Finally, we explore the existence of long memory in some financial time series and conclude using a novel approach in their exploration.

Keywords: long memory, fractionally integrated auto regression models, periodogram, Whittle method

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ISSN 2311-8768 (Online)
ISSN 2073-4484 (Print)

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