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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

Efficiency of long-term forecasts in the pricing of weather derivatives

Vol. 3, Iss. 6, JUNE 2010

Available online: 7 June 2010

Subject Heading: FUND MARKET

JEL Classification: 

Yanovskiy L.P. professor, Voronezh State Agrarian University
leonidya60e@yandex.ru

Filonov V.S. graduate student of chair «Economy of agrarian and industrial complex», Voronezh state agrarian university
vitofilonov@gmail.com

Strategy and an economic estimation of efficiency of the price forecast of weather futures, traded on Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), are studied in this paper. The research is based on the assumption of fractal nature of natural time series while the nature of usual financial tools has a multifractal basis.

Keywords: forecasting, futures, investment, the activity, dynamics, algorithm, market, weather, derivative

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ISSN 2311-8768 (Online)
ISSN 2073-4484 (Print)

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