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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Methodology for risk analysis of regional economic security based on indicators of the healthcare industry

ISSUE 12, DECEMBER 2025

Received: 20 October 2025

Accepted: 11 November 2025

Available online: 16 December 2025

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC ADVANCEMENT

JEL Classification: G32, H75, I18, O18, R58

Pages: 23-37

https://doi.org/10.24891/xzqdyo

Evgenii V. GRADOBOEV Corresponding author, Irkutsk State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education – Branch of Russian Medical Academy of Continuous Professional Education of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Irkutsk, Russian Federation
gradoboev_eugene@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6069-1515

Semen Yu. BOGATYREV International Banking Institute named after Anatoliy Sobchak, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
sbogatyrev@ibispb.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6080-5869

Subject. The article addresses regional economic security measurement and its modeling based on the cost approach in the context of the healthcare industry functioning.
Objectives. The study aims at theoretical and methodological substantiation and development of an approach to the analysis of regional economic security risks given the healthcare industry specifics, formation of a system of indicators and measures to reduce identified threats, development of tools for modeling the economic security of the region based on a cost approach.
Methods. The study rests on dialectical, institutional, and systems approaches, methods of cost engineering, structural and functional analysis, factor modeling, economic and statistical comparison, and assessment of risk indices.
Results. We identified a multilevel system of contradictions in the functioning of the compulsory health insurance system; developed a risk analysis methodology based on the integration of health industry indicators into the system for assessing the economic security of the region, and a cost-based approach to modeling economic phenomena and processes; defined a system of efficiency indicators enabling to monitor the sustainability of the healthcare system as an element of the economic security of the region; devised valuation tools to manage processes in the healthcare industry to improve regional economic security.
Conclusions. We confirmed the need to move from fragmented regulation of the healthcare industry to institutionally integrated management model based on combining goals, resources and mechanisms for public policy implementation. The offered methodology helps increase the accuracy of risk assessment, strengthen relationship between the healthcare system and region’s economic security.

Keywords: economic security, healthcare, compulsory medical insurance, institutional risks, strategic planning

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