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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Methodological approaches to the analysis and assessment of credit risks of agricultural enterprises in the Russian Federation

Vol. 24, Iss. 3, MARCH 2025

Received: 9 October 2024

Accepted: 7 December 2024

Available online: 13 March 2025

Subject Heading: COMPREHENSIVE ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

JEL Classification: G32

Pages: 139-160

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.24.3.139

Ol'ga V. KOTOVA Ural State University of Economics (USUE), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
olgav1969@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4748-7891

Aleksandr V. KURDYUMOV Ural State University of Economics (USUE), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
kurdyumov@usue.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2523-7595

Ol'ga A. VOROTILOVA Volgograd State Technical University (VSTU), Volgograd, Russian Federation
olga.alexandrovna.vorotilova@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1359-7090

Irina A. EZANGINA Volgograd State Technical University (VSTU), Volgograd, Russian Federation
Ezanginairina@rambler.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9441-4401

Natal'ya Yu. NOVIKOVA Ural State University of Economics (USUE), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
novikova_ny@mail.ru

ORCID id: not available

Sof'ya A. KRIVOROTOVA Volgograd State Technical University (VSTU), Volgograd, Russian Federation
sofiaKrivorotova@gmail.com

ORCID id: not available

Subject. The article addresses the systems analysis of credit risks associated with financial activities of enterprises operating in the agro-industrial complex of the Russian Federation.
Objectives. The purpose is to define methodological approaches to the analysis and assessment of credit risks of enterprises of agro-industrial complex in Russia.
Methods. The study employs systems analysis, graphical and comparative analysis.
Results. We applied a variable approach to assessing the credit risk of a corporate borrower – an enterprise of the agroindustrial complex. The proposed approach enables to predict with high confidence the probability of financial insolvency in the borrower's activities. Furthermore, we considered a variable approach to credit risk assessment, using corrective risk factors. The paper discloses the role of corporate underwriting in the credit risk assessment process.
Conclusions. The considered methodology for assessing credit risks based on internal ratings can be applied to enterprises of the agro-industrial complex of the Russian Federation, which will reduce the risk of losses in this important area of ensuring the country’s food security.

Keywords: corporate borrower, credit risk, underwriting

References:

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