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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

The impact of the global gas crisis on the Russian stock market destabilization from the perspective of the concept of financial contagion

Vol. 24, Iss. 2, FEBRUARY 2025

Received: 17 October 2024

Accepted: 19 November 2024

Available online: 14 February 2025

Subject Heading: ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CAPITAL

JEL Classification: G19

Pages: 180-192

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.24.2.180

Andrei M. TEREKHOV Russian State University of Justice (RSUJ), Moscow, Russian Federation
terehoff.t@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2356-4533

Marina V. EFREMOVA National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
efremovamv@iee.unn.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6985-2696

Tat'yana M. VOROB'EVA Nizhny Novgorod State Florentyev Agrotechnological University, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
tatyana.expert.vorobeva@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0009-0005-6676-2272

Yuliya S. KLYUEVA Institute of Food Technology and Design – Branch of Nizhny Novgorod State University of Engineering and Economics (NGIEU), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
juliya_klyueva@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7464-1121

Subject. The article addresses the impact of the global gas crisis on the Russian stock market destabilization.
Objectives. The study aims at the fixation of financial instability on sectors of the Russian economy during the period of negative impact of the global gas crisis.
Methods. We employed general scientific research methods.
Results. We considered the transmission of contagion to the Russian economic sectors (metallurgy, energy, telecommunications, chemistry and petrochemistry, finance, transport and consumer), where the oil and gas sector acted as a transmitter, and recorded the process of transferring instability to the domestic sectors of the economy. We used special econometric tests and analyzed simulated values of dynamic conditional correlations. The obtained results were evaluated for statistical significance by comparing the obtained test statistics with critical values. The test results do not refute the hypothesis of financial contagion in all sectors of the Russian economy without exception. At the same time, not all tests recorded the contagion, which is due to the varying intensity of its spread through the exchange trading channel.
Conclusions. The exposure of Russian industries to financial contagion is due to the high share of the energy sector in the structure of the Russian economy. To weaken the interconnectedness between the oil and gas and other sectors, it is important to reduce the dependence of the Russian economy on energy imports, diversify imports, and switch to long-term contracts with reliable partners.

Keywords: financial instability, economic crisis, financial contagion, dynamic conditional correlations, intersectoral contagion

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