Subject. The article addresses the impact of the global gas crisis on the Russian stock market destabilization. Objectives. The study aims at the fixation of financial instability on sectors of the Russian economy during the period of negative impact of the global gas crisis. Methods. We employed general scientific research methods. Results. We considered the transmission of contagion to the Russian economic sectors (metallurgy, energy, telecommunications, chemistry and petrochemistry, finance, transport and consumer), where the oil and gas sector acted as a transmitter, and recorded the process of transferring instability to the domestic sectors of the economy. We used special econometric tests and analyzed simulated values of dynamic conditional correlations. The obtained results were evaluated for statistical significance by comparing the obtained test statistics with critical values. The test results do not refute the hypothesis of financial contagion in all sectors of the Russian economy without exception. At the same time, not all tests recorded the contagion, which is due to the varying intensity of its spread through the exchange trading channel. Conclusions. The exposure of Russian industries to financial contagion is due to the high share of the energy sector in the structure of the Russian economy.
To weaken the interconnectedness between the oil and gas and other sectors, it is important to reduce the dependence of the Russian economy on energy imports, diversify imports, and switch to long-term contracts with reliable partners.
Boungou W., Yatié A. The impact of the Ukraine–Russia war on world stock market returns. Economics Letters, 2022, vol. 215, no. 110516. URL: Link
Berkman H., Jacobsen B., Lee J.B. Time-varying rare disaster risk and stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 2011, vol. 101, iss. 2, pp. 313–332. URL: Link
Akhtaruzzaman Md., Boubaker S., Sensoy A. Financial contagion during COVID–19 crisis. Finance Research Letters, Forthcoming, 2020, March. URL: Link
Lianbiao Cui, Suyun Yue, Xuan-Hoa Nghiem, Mei Duan. Exploring the risk and economic vulnerability of global energy supply chain interruption in the context of Russo-Ukrainian war. Resources Policy, 2023, vol. 81, no. 103373. URL: Link
Dimic N., Orlov V., Piljak V. The political risk factor in emerging, frontier, and developed stock markets. Finance Research Letters, 2015, vol. 15, pp. 239–245. URL: Link
Huszár Z.R., Kotró B.B., Tan R.S.K. Dynamic volatility transfer in the European oil and gas industry. Energy Economics, 2023, vol. 127, part A, no. 107052. URL: Link
Platonov K. Confidence spillovers, financial contagion, and stagnation. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2024, vol. 148, no. 103163. URL: Link
Chui M., Taylor A. International financial contagion. Contagion in financial markets. The Economic Journal, 2002, vol. 112, iss. 483, pp. F566–F568. URL: Link
Tuzcuoglu K. Nonlinear Transmission of International Financial Stress. Economic Modelling, 2024, vol. 139, no. 106805. URL: Link
Xin Sheng, Won Joong Kim, Rangan Gupta, Qiang Ji. The Impacts of Oil Price Volatility on Financial Stress: Is the COVID-19 Period Different? International Review of Economics & Finance, 2023, vol. 85, pp. 520–532. URL: Link
Farmer R.E. The evolution of endogenous business cycles. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2016, vol. 20, special iss. 2: Complexity in Economic Systems, pp. 544–557. URL: Link
Hardy D.C., Pazarbasioglu C. Determinants and Leading Indicators of Banking Crises: Further Evidence. IMF Economic Review, 1999, vol. 46, iss. 3, pp. 247–258. URL: Link
Jokipii T., Lucey B. Contagion and interdependence: Measuring CEE banking sector co-movements. Economic Systems, 2007, vol. 31, iss. 1, pp. 71–96. URL: Link
Cingano F., Manaresi F., Sette E. Does credit crunch investment down? New evidence on the real effects of the bank-lending channel. The Review of Financial Studies, 2016, vol. 29, iss. 10, pp. 2737–2773. URL: Link
Fu M.C., Li B., Li F., Wu R. Contagion network, portfolio credit risk, and financial crisis. European Journal of Operational Research, 2025, vol. 321, iss. 3, pp. 942–957. URL: Link
Fonseca N.C., Carvalho J.V.F. Analysis of financial contagion among economic sectors through Dynamic Bayesian Networks. Expert Systems with Applications, 2025, vol. 260, no. 125448. URL: Link
Aït-Sahalia Y., Cacho-Diaz J., Laeven R.J.A. Modeling financial contagion using mutually exciting jump processes. Journal of Financial Economics, 2015, vol. 117, iss. 3, pp. 585–606. URL: Link
Celık S. The more contagion effect on emerging markets: The evidence of DCC-GARCH model. Economic Modelling, 2012, vol. 29, iss. 5, pp. 1946–1959.
URL: Link
Nazarova L.N., Nusratullin I.V., Aksenova A.A. et al. Socio-economic development of Russia. Journal of Advanced Research in Law and Economics, 2019, vol. 2, iss. 40, pp. 616–624. URL: Link.23
Ovcharov A.O., Terekhov A.M. [Financial contagion in raw materials markets during the COVID-19 pandemic]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 6. Ekonomika = Moscow University Economics Bulletin, 2024, no. 3, pp. 123–143. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Terekhov A.M., Ovcharov A.O. [Financial contagion of German industrial enterprises during the 2021–2023 global energy crisis]. Upravlenie = Management, 2024, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 58–69. (In Russ.) URL: Link