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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Studying the influence of the sectoral structure of Russian regions on their economic development using artificial intelligence methods

Vol. 24, Iss. 2, FEBRUARY 2025

Received: 26 November 2024

Accepted: 16 December 2024

Available online: 14 February 2025

Subject Heading: Innovation

JEL Classification: С45, O30, R11

Pages: 123-143

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.24.2.123

Marina Yu. MALKINA National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
mmuri@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3152-3934

Yuliya O. PLEKHOVA National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
y.plekhova@unn.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3955-517X

Valentina I. PEROVA National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
perova_vi@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1992-5076

Andrei L. SOCHKOV National Research Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod (UNN), Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation
sochkov@iee.unn.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8389-9493

Subject. The article explores the influence of the sectoral structure of economies of Russian regions on the level of their economic, innovation, and digital development in terms of achieving the national goal of "Technological Leadership" and ensuring the economic security of the country.
Objectives. The study aims at clustering the Russian regions under artificial intelligence methods based on official statistics on the share of enlarged industries in the GRP of the region and the scale of region's economy; establishing links between identified cluster formations with average (for their constituent regions) indicators of economic development, innovation, and digital activity.
Methods. We performed cluster analysis using the machine learning method being one of the most important parts of artificial intelligence. We compared the results of two main clustering procedures: hierarchical cluster analysis and the K-means method. Regions’ ratings for three groups of indicators were formed using the methods of normalization (Z-counting method) and aggregation of partial indicators.
Results. The paper described the architecture of each cluster formation, calculated average values of considered indicators in clusters. Six out of seven identified clusters have a pronounced industry specialization. The seventh cluster was the most diversified, its sectoral structure is close to that of the Russian economy as a whole. For each group of development indicators (economic, innovative, digital), we identified leader and outsider clusters.
Conclusions. The study confirmed the hypothesis about connection of the sectoral structure of Russian regions’ economies with the level of their economic development, innovation, and digital activity. The obtained clustering results can be used in the formation of digital twins of Russian regions to establish their general characteristics of development and forecast socio-economic indicators.

Keywords: technological leadership, industry structure, cluster analysis, artificial intelligence, innovation activity

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