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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Methods to analyze grants to ensure the balance of local budgets: Evidence from the budget system of the Komi Republic

Vol. 16, Iss. 5, MAY 2017

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 20 February 2017

Received in revised form: 25 March 2017

Accepted: 24 April 2017

Available online: 29 May 2017

Subject Heading: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND MODELS

JEL Classification: C23, H77

Pages: 983-996

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.16.5.983

Timushev E.N. Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North, Komi Science Centre, Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Syktyvkar, Russian Federation
timushev@iespn.komisc.ru

Subject The article discusses problems of unbalanced local budgets of the Russian budget system.
Objectives The aim is to propose methods to analyze allocation of general purpose discretionary grants to local budgets within the budget system of a subject of the Russian Federation in the context of the problem of soft budget constraints.
Methods In the study, I reviewed relevant literature and legal framework, applied general scientific methods, correlation and regression analysis under the ordinary least squares technique, tested the quality of revealed relationship, calculated standardized ratios of regression.
Results I developed a methodology to test the softness of budget constraints at the level of local budgets. For the budget system of the Komi Republic, the paper confirms two types of factors influencing the parameters of general purpose discretionary grants to local budgets. They are the external shock in the parameters of distribution of expenditure obligations and dynamics of local investment.
Conclusions and Relevance The proposed methods are applicable to test the hypotheses about the relationship of volumes of discretionary grants and transfers and economic activity in the territory of spending units. Empirical studies are important for assessing the current system of distribution of expenditure obligations within the budget system of the Russian Federation.

Keywords: soft budget constraints, inter-budgetary transfer, general purpose discretionary grant, balanced budget, fiscal incentive

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