+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Military expenditures and economic growth: Econometric estimates of nexus

Vol. 15, Iss. 9, SEPTEMBER 2016

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 31 March 2016

Received in revised form: 12 May 2016

Accepted: 17 June 2016

Available online: 29 September 2016

Subject Heading: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND MODELS

JEL Classification: C33, H56, O47

Pages: 153-164

Arzhenovskii S.V. Rostov State University of Economics (RSUE), Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
sarzhenov@gmail.com

Importance The article addresses the influence of European countries' military expenditure on the economic growth.
Objectives The purpose of the study is to build econometric models to identify the areas of influence of military expenditures on the economic growth. The information base of the research is the panel data on 38 European countries based on sources from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute and the World Bank for 1992–2014.
Methods The study employs the econometric methods of estimating the panel data models with one-way and two-way fixed effects in the error and the Swamy approach with random coefficients.
Results I reviewed empirical studies on economic effects of military expenditures within several theoretical areas. The paper specifies and identifies the Feder–Ram models, the modified Solow model and the model of endogenous growth. A statistically significant effect of military expenditures on economic growth is obtained under the Solow model. The estimation of the effects of military expenditures on economic growth is helpful to determine strategic priorities of European countries’ development, and to justify the amount of military expenditures in budget planning.
Conclusions The findings show that five countries, i.e. Russia, France, Great Britain, Germany and Italy have military expenditures, which in 2014 accounted for almost three fourths of total expenditures of all countries in the sample. The share of military expenditures in Russia's GDP from 1998 to 2014 increased 2.1 times. The share of France, Great Britain demonstrates a descending trend. The estimation of the effect of military expenditures on economic growth of European countries is negative, small, and significant only for the modified Solow model.

Keywords: military expenditures, economic development, panel regression, European countries

References:

  1. Crespo Cuaresma J., Reitschuler G. A Non-Linear Defense-Growth Nexus? Evidence from the US economy. Defence and Peace Economics, 2004, vol. 15, iss. 1, pp. 71–82. doi: 10.1080/1024269042000164504
  2. Uk H., Eger R. Paying for Security: The security-prosperity dilemma in the United States. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2005, vol. 49, iss. 5, pp. 792–817. doi: 10.1177/0022002705279365
  3. Uk H. The Relationship between Defense Spending and Economic Growth in the United States. Political Research Quarterly, 2010, vol. 63, no. 4, pp. 760–770. doi: 10.1177/1065912909334427
  4. Malkov S.Yu., Chernavskii D.S., Kosse Yu.V., Starkov N.I. [The impact of military spending on macroeconomic indicators] Strategicheskaya stabil'nost' = Strategic Stability, 2008, no. 2, pp. 27–39. (In Russ.)
  5. Barro R.J. Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 1990, vol. 98, iss. 5, pp. 103–126. doi: 10.1086/261726
  6. Gerace M.P. US Military Expenditure and Economic Growth: Some evidence from spectral methods. Defence and Peace Economics, 2002, vol. 13, iss. 1, pp. 1–11.
  7. Elveren A.Y., Hsu S. Military Expenditures and Profit Rates: Evidence from OECD Countries. Metroeconomica, 2015, vol. 67, iss. 3, pp. 551–577. doi: 10.1111/meca.12111
  8. Dunne P.J. The Economic Effects of Military Expenditure in Developing Countries. Available at: Link.
  9. Dunne J.P., Tian N. Military Expenditure and Economic Growth: A Survey. The Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2013, vol. 8, iss. 1, pp. 5–11.
  10. Smith D., Smith R. Military Expenditure, Resources and Development. University of London, Birkbeck College Discussion Paper, 1980, no. 87.
  11. Hartley K. Defence Output Measures: An Economics Perspective. Defence R&D Canada – CORA, 2011.
  12. Dunne J.P., Smith R.P. Military Expenditure and Granger Causality: A critical review. Defence and Peace Economics, 2010, vol. 21, iss. 5-6, pp. 427–441. doi: 10.1080/10242694.2010.501185
  13. Atesoglu S.H. Defense Spending Promotes Aggregate Output in the United States: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis. Defence and Peace Economics, 2002, vol. 13, iss. 1. doi: 10.1080/10242690210963
  14. Gleditsch N.P., Cappelen A., Bjerkholt O., Smith R., Dunne P. The Peace Dividend. Amsterdam, North Holland, 1996.
  15. D'Agostino G., Dunne J.P., Pieroni L. Assessing the Effects of Military Expenditures on Growth. In: Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict. Oxford University Press, 2010.
  16. Mylonidis N. Revisiting the Nexus Between Military Spending and Growth in the European Union. Defence and Peace Economics, 2008, vol. 19, iss. 4, pp. 265–272. doi: 10.1080/10242690802164801
  17. Pieroni L. Military Expenditure and Economic Growth. Defence and Peace Economics, 2009, vol. 20, iss. 4, pp. 327–339. doi: 10.1080/10242690701589876
  18. Hsiao C. Analysis of Panel Data (Econometric Society Monographs, no. 11). Cambridge University Press, 1986.
  19. Dunne P., Smith R., Willenbockel D. Models of Military Expenditure and Growth: A critical review. Defence and Peace Economics, 2005, vol. 16, iss. 6, pp. 449–461. doi: 10.1080/10242690500167791
  20. Alexander W.R., Hansen P. A Critique of the Multi-Sector Model of the Effects of Military Spending on Economic Growth. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2004, vol. 4(2), pp. 35–54.
  21. Topcu M., Aras I. Defense Spending and Economic Growth: Extended empirical analysis for the European Union. Defence and Peace Economics, 2015, vol. 26, iss. 2, pp. 233–246. doi: 10.1080/10242694.2013.774771

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 23, Iss. 3
March 2024

Archive