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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Modeling the influence of socio-economic factors on gross regional product

Vol. 14, Iss. 45, DECEMBER 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 8 October 2015

Accepted: 19 October 2015

Available online: 10 December 2015

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC ADVANCEMENT

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 2-14

Pankova S.V. Orenburg State University, Orenburg, Russian Federation
panksv@mail.ru

Tsypin A.P. Orenburg State University, Orenburg, Russian Federation
zipin@yandex.ru

Subject The study considers socio-economic processes having impact on the level of region's development in the context of application of statistical and econometric methods.
     Objectives The aim is to establish the degree of influence of socioeconomic factors on gross regional product (GRP) to determine the uneven development of regions of the Russian Federation.
     Methods We used statistical (cluster analysis) and econometric (regression analysis) methods to analyze the differentiation of the subjects of the Russian Federation in terms of socio-economic development, and built econometric models reflecting the impact of the key factors on GRP.
     Results We grouped the subjects of the Russian Federation by their development level, and built an econometric model demonstrating the effect of average monthly nominal salary of employees on the GRP of two selected groups of subjects.
     Conclusions There are objective differences in the level of socio-economic development of regions. They are confirmed by the results of the correlation analysis, which point to various sets of factors in the selected subsets. The built typological regression and modeling conducted on its basis allow suggesting that to achieve the highest values of GRP, regional authorities should focus on raising the living standard of the population.

Keywords: gross regional product, differentiation, factor, regression, econometric modeling

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