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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

A structural and dynamic analysis of the Russian sub-federal bond market

Vol. 14, Iss. 39, OCTOBER 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 26 August 2015

Accepted: 16 September 2015

Available online: 25 October 2015

Subject Heading: ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CAPITAL

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 32-43

Ermakova E.A. Saratov Socio-Economic Institute, Branch of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Saratov, Russian Federation
eae13@mail.ru

Semernina Yu.V. Saratov Socio-Economic Institute, Branch of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Saratov, Russian Federation
ysemernina@yandex.ru

Shcherbakov A.A. Saratov Socio-Economic Institute, Branch of Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Saratov, Russian Federation
chcherbakov@yandex.ru

Subject At present, there is little consideration of issues related to the analysis of the structure of the Russian sub-federal bond market in the domestic specialized financial and economic literature. In addition, very often, analysts review the domestic sub-federal bond market together with the municipal bond market, and we believe this is not quite correct.
     Objectives The aim is to identify major development trends in the domestic sub-federal bond market based on its structural and dynamic changes over 2004-2014.
     Methods In the study, we applied graphical and tabular methods, analysis of structural changes, and analysis of average values in relation to the indicators that are traditionally used in this segment of the financial market.
     Results We performed a structural and dynamic analysis of the sub-federal bond market from 2004 to 2014. It enabled to obtain more accurate and reliable results of changes in the reviewed segment of the financial market during the analyzed period, to identify major development trends, and to create a reliable platform for the most realistic forecast of the market development.
     Conclusions We conclude that the nominal value of bond issues (excluding amortization) gives a more accurate picture of the dynamics and structure of the reviewed segment of the Russian debt securities market. The market developed intensively, its volume increased. The market structure underwent significant changes: the total number of issuers of circulating bonds increased from 25 to 35. The analyzed market segment was characterized by a very high level of concentration.

Keywords: bond issue, securities, sub-federal bonds, constituent entity

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