A multilevel and multicriterion approach to the analysis and forecast of the ultimate goals and methods of competitive struggle of major monopolies (the U.S. foreign trade case study)
Shapkin E.I.Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University named after R.E. Alekseev, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation shapkin.57@mail.ru
Kornilov D.A.Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University named after R.E. Alekseev, Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation kornilov-d@yandex.ru
Importance The article overviews the competition methods employed at the level of the largest global economies. The article analyses the impact of external and internal factors on the development of international relations in terms of vying for resources and distribution markets. Considering the global economic crisis, it becomes even more important to analyze and evaluate probable activities large monopolies may embark on in order to rearrange the distribution markets. Trying to affect the competitors, the large monopolies mainly use some political maneuvers on behalf of international public organizations, rather than exerting pressure on their competitors directly. They also resort to international agents of influence. However, any of the above methods has a common measurement criterion, i.e. financial costs. Objectives The objective of the research is to forecast how the economic situation may unfold under external and internal factors influencing the involved parties, considering the political and economic resources available to them. Methods Relying on the multilevel and multicriterion approach to the evaluation of the economic situation, the authors propose the algorithm to examine the issue and the most probable forecast of the future circumstances, assuming various scenarios of the parties' activities. Results The result is reasonable to apply when evaluating and analyzing decisions on long-term plans of the Russian economic development, political support and the national financial reserves required for implementing the plans. Conclusions and Relevance The authors substantiate the conclusion stating that it is reasonable and practicable to apply the multilevel and multicriterion approach to the long-term economic planning, considering new external factors and the economic and political relation of the factors.
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