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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Simulation of the investment project parameters based on the information and statistical approach

Vol. 13, Iss. 33, SEPTEMBER 2014

Available online: 30 August 2014

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC AND MATHEMATICAL MODELING

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 37-48

Garanin D.A. Saint Petersburg State Polytechnic University, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
garanin@kafedrapik.ru

Lukashevich N.S. Saint Petersburg State Polytechnic University, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
lukashevich@kafedrapik.ru

There are many methodological difficulties associated with investment process management. The solution of these issues should involve information and statistical methods taking into account uncertainty and risks. The article presents the theoretical formulation of information and statistical models for cash flow valuation. To simulate the life cycle of an investment project, the authors propose and test a Markov chain-based discrete-continuous model. The authors also test an original technique of multi-criteria positioning of investment projects.

Keywords: investment, project, process, uncertainty, distribution, probability

References:

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