Vaisblat B.I.Nizhny Novgorod Branch of National Research University "Higher School of Economics", Nizhny Novgorod, Russian Federation bvaisblat@hse.ru
The analysis of studies on the assessment of project risks shows that there are several approaches to meet certain criteria for quantitative risk assessment. Moreover, there is no common opinion on this question. That is why there is a need to formulate a precise definition of project risk. This will help to work out a science-based approach to reveal the essence of the category of "risk", to make a choice of risk indicators, to develop methods to predict the performance of project risk and manage it. This paper proposes a general definition of "project risk", a system of project risk indicators (the delay in implementing the project, the amount of overspending cash), a method of forecasting performance of project risk and an optimization model of risk management. The suggested model is an integer linear programming task. The so-called penalties' sum is used as an optimality criterion.
Vaisblat B.I., Kurlova Yu.S. [Estimation of probability characteristics of the duration of innovation project by the method of transforming network]. Regional’nye perspektivy razvitiya innovatsionnoi ekonomiki Rossii: materialy mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii [Proc. Sci. Conf. “Regional perspectives for the development of innovation economy in Russia”]. Nizhny Novgorod, 2011.
Vaisblat B.I., Liubushin N.P. Mnogoparametricheskaya optimizatsiya upravleniya resursami proekta [Multi-parametric optimization of project resource management]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika – Economic analysis: theory and practice, 2012, no. 38, pp. 42–45.
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