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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Forecast of development parameters of innovative projects according to their mutual influence on each other, based on cognitive maps

Vol. 11, Iss. 45, DECEMBER 2012

Available online: 4 December 2012

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODELING

JEL Classification: 

Mylnikov L.A. PhD of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor of department "Microprocessor automation equipment", the Perm National Research University
leonid@pstu.ru

In the article the technique, allowing to specify data of forecasts of development of parameters of innovative projects on the basis of innovative and S-shaped curves is offered. The approach is based on identification of interrelations between parameters and the accounting of their interference at each other by addition of new correcting data for creation of predicting curves. The approach can reduce the amount of error in constructing forecasts for innovative projects.

Keywords: value node, innovation, life-cycle curve, investment project, forecast, project settings

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ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

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