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Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

The cyclical nature of the global automotive industry

Vol. 9, Iss. 35, NOVEMBER 2010

Available online: 9 November 2010

Subject Heading: ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES

JEL Classification: 

Kurilov K.Y. candidate of economic sciences, associate professor of economics, finance and accounting, Togliatty state university
К.Kurilov@vaz.ru

Kurilovа A.A. candidate of economic sciences, associate professor of economics, finance and accounting, Togliatty state university
aakurilova@yandex.ru

For manufacturers of vehicles the estimation of probability of occurrence in the market of sales of negative dynamics is actual, including on the basis of the information on cycles of development of branch. In the present work the hypothesis of presence of cyclicity in development of branch on manufacture of vehicles is proved. The conclusion about existence of superlong-term cycles (waves) which are continuation of Kondratev long wave’s time for completion of the superbig cycle of branch on manufacture of vehicles is made.

Keywords: automotive industry, the dynamics of the global automotive industry, cyclical, super long cycle

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ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

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